Cooling US jobs market in focus as political scrutiny heats up

US employment data on Friday is expected to confirm a cooled labor market, as companies pull back on hiring amid continued uncertainty over President Donald Trump’s tariffs.But the jobs report is set to attract heightened scrutiny, after a poor showing last month prompted Trump to claim the numbers were “rigged” and take the unprecedented action of firing the commissioner of labor statistics.US job growth missed expectations in July, while revisions to hiring figures in recent months brought them to the weakest levels since the Covid-19 pandemic.Hours after the data release, Trump charged that Commissioner Erika McEntarfer had “faked” jobs data to boost Democrats’ chances of victory in the recent presidential election.He also pointed to the downward revisions to hiring numbers, saying that similar things have happened this year — amid his return to the presidency in January — and “always to the negative.”But Nationwide chief economist Kathy Bostjancic told AFP that data revisions take place as survey response rates have declined.If companies respond late, numbers have to be updated to reflect incoming data.”I’ve never viewed the data as being politically determined or influenced,” she said. But she conceded that “there’s room for improvement in data collection.”- ‘Fragile balance’ -For now, EY chief economist Gregory Daco anticipates Friday’s report “to confirm that a marked slowdown in labor market conditions is underway.”This comes as business leaders “continue to restrain hiring” as they grapple with softer demand, higher costs and interest rates, he wrote in a note.Trump’s stop-start approach to rolling out tariffs has snarled supply chains and made it tough for businesses to plan their next moves. Many firms said they have been forced to put growth plans on hold.A Briefing.com consensus forecast expects US hiring to pick up slightly to 78,000 in August from 73,000 in July.The unemployment rate, meanwhile, is anticipated to edge up from 4.2 percent to 4.3 percent.While this appears to be an improvement, KPMG senior economist Kenneth Kim told AFP that “last year, the average payroll gain per month was 168,000.”The average so far this year, he said, was 85,000 — about half the pace seen in 2024.”Recent data highlights a fragile balance in the labor market: labor demand and supply have become subdued, while layoffs remain limited,” Daco said.”Increasingly, job creation is concentrated within a couple of private-sector industries,” he added.He also warned that the labor force participation rate will likely edge down as stricter immigration policies under the Trump administration increasingly constrain worker flows in the coming months.- Rate cut incoming -If Friday’s data came in as expected, “there’s a very high probability” that the Federal Reserve will lower interest rates at the end of its policy meeting from September 16-17, said Kim of KPMG.Since its last cut in December, the US central bank has held interest rates steady at a range between 4.25 percent and 4.50 percent.In doing so, Fed policymakers have been balancing between risks of inflation and a deteriorating jobs market.Economists have warned that Trump’s wide-ranging tariffs on imports could fuel inflation and bog down economic growth over the long run. The Fed is monitoring the duties’ effects on consumer prices as officials mull the right timing for their next rate cut, despite Trump’s growing calls for swift and significant reductions.A jobs report signaling a tepid labor market would likely support the need for a cut to boost the economy, while a surprisingly strong showing might instead tip the odds in the other direction.

Ukraine: 26 pays prêts à “s’engager” pour des garanties de sécurité, rejetées par le Kremlin

Vingt-six pays, essentiellement européens, se sont engagés jeudi à Paris à soutenir militairement l’Ukraine au sol, en mer ou dans les airs dans le cadre d’un futur cessez-le-feu, le Kremlin rejetant vendredi catégoriquement toute garantie militaire occidentale à l’Ukraine.Le président ukrainien, Volodymyr Zelensky, a dit avoir évoqué, avec son homologue américain Donald Trump, notamment l’adoption de nouvelles sanctions contre Moscou et la protection du ciel ukrainien contre les attaques russes, au cours d’une conversation téléphonique.Lors du sommet de la Coalition des volontaires co-dirigée par M. Macron et le Premier ministre britannique Keir Starmer, les 26 pays se sont “formellement engagés” jeudi à “déployer comme force de réassurance des troupes en Ukraine ou à être présents sur le sol, en mer ou dans les airs”, a déclaré le président français Emmanuel Macron en conférence de presse.En vertu de ces plans, dont il a refusé de donner le détail et de préciser les contributions pays par pays, “le jour où le conflit s’arrête, les garanties de sécurité se déploient”, a-t-il expliqué, que ce soit via un “cessez-le-feu”, un “armistice” ou un “traité de paix”. Il ne s’agit donc pas “de mener quelque guerre contre la Russie” mais de la dissuader d’attaquer à nouveau l’Ukraine à l’avenir.- “Soutien américain”, dit Macron -Emmanuel Macron a assuré que l’Allemagne, l’Italie et la Pologne étaient des “contributeurs importants” parmi les 26. Ces trois poids lourds européens avaient émis des réserves sur un engagement, qu’ils lient notamment à un “filet de sécurité” robuste de Washington.La Première ministre italienne Giorgia Meloni a d’ailleurs répété à l’issue de la réunion que Rome n’enverrait pas de troupes en Ukraine. L’Allemagne entend quant à elle plutôt participer au renforcement de la défense antiaérienne de l’Ukraine et à l’équipement de ses forces terrestres, ont dit des sources gouvernementales à l’AFP.Mais le Kremlin a mis son veto à toutes garanties militaires occidentales à l’Ukraine vendredi matin.”Les étrangers, en particulier les contingents militaires européens et américains, peuvent-ils fournir et garantir la sécurité de l’Ukraine? Absolument pas, ils ne le peuvent pas”, a déclaré Dmitri Peskov, le porte-parole du Kremlin, à l’agence Ria Novosti, soulignant que la Russie devait aussi bénéficier de garanties pour sa sécurité. Il a également accusé les Européens d'”entraver” le règlement du conflit en Ukraine.Le soutien ou “backstop” américain était l’enjeu d’une visioconférence avec le président Donald Trump dans la foulée du sommet, auquel a aussi en partie pris part son émissaire spécial Steve Witkoff, présent au palais de l’Elysée.Aucune annonce n’a été faite à cet égard.”Nous comptons sur le +backstop+ des Etats-Unis”, a répété M. Zelensky pendant la même conférence de presse.Lors d’un entretien téléphonique avec des dirigeants européens et Donald Trump après le sommet, “nous avons examiné différentes options, dont la plus importante est la pression, en recourant à des mesures fortes, notamment économiques (…). Nous avons également discuté de la protection maximale du ciel ukrainien”, a-t-il plus tard écrit sur Facebook.Emmanuel Macron a assuré que le “soutien américain” à ces “garanties de sécurité” pour Kiev serait finalisé “dans les prochains jours” et que les Américains avaient “été très clairs” sur leur participation. “Il n’y a pas de doute sur ce sujet”, a-t-il martelé.- Nouvelles sanctions ? -La réunion a été l’occasion pour les Européens de réaffirmer leur volonté de tout faire pour pousser la Russie à négocier.Keir Starmer a ainsi souligné qu’il était “nécessaire d’augmenter la pression” sur le président russe Vladimir Poutine qui “continue à repousser des négociations de paix et à mener des attaques scandaleuses sur l’Ukraine”, selon un porte-parole à Londres.A la clôture des travaux, Emmanuel Macron a aussi assuré que les Européens prendraient de nouvelles sanctions “en lien avec les Etats-Unis” si Moscou continuait de refuser la paix.Il a évoqué un “travail conjoint” avec Washington, concernant aussi des mesures punitives contre les pays “qui soutiennent” l’économie russe ou aident la Russie à “contourner les sanctions” – “et à ce titre, la Chine a été évoquée”, a-t-il ajouté sans plus de précisions.Les Européens réclament ces sanctions américaines depuis des mois, jusqu’ici sans succès.Donald Trump, se disant “très déçu” par son homologue russe, avait averti mercredi qu’il “se passerait quelque chose” si Moscou ne répondait pas à ses attentes de paix.Il a indiqué jeudi soir qu’il s’entretiendrait bientôt avec Vladimir Poutine, répondant à une question de la presse.Le président américain “est très mécontent que du pétrole russe soit acheté par l’Europe”, a par ailleurs souligné jeudi Volodymyr Zelensky, citant la Slovaquie et la Hongrie.Donald Trump avait promis, au cours d’une réunion avec six dirigeants européens le 18 août à Washington, que les Etats-Unis apporteraient des garanties de sécurité, sans préciser lesquelles.Ce “filet de sécurité” américain pourrait prendre différentes formes – renseignement, soutien logistique, communications -, le président américain ayant exclu l’envoi par les Etats-Unis de troupes au sol.

Chinese firms pay price of jihadist strikes against Mali juntaFri, 05 Sep 2025 05:26:10 GMT

Jihadists allied to Al-Qaeda have launched a blitz of raids on Malian industrial sites run by foreign firms, especially Chinese, as a tactic to undermine the ruling junta.While present across wider west Africa, the powerful Group for the Support of Islam and Muslims, known by its Arabic acronym JNIM, represents the greatest threat to the …

Chinese firms pay price of jihadist strikes against Mali juntaFri, 05 Sep 2025 05:26:10 GMT Read More »

New recipes help Pakistani mothers ward off malnutrition

Clutching their hungry babies, a group of mothers mix a semolina dish under the guidance of a teacher, an attempt to curb malnutrition which affects nearly one in two children in Pakistan’s south.Despite Sindh province being home to the mega port city of Karachi, the financial centre of the country that sprawls along the Arabian coastline, children in rural areas just a few hours away face stark levels of wasting and stunting. In the arid village of Sujawal, lethargic children with prominent bones wilt in the searing heat as social workers educate mothers on nutrient-rich ingredients and dispel myths around food. “Before, we only gave our children potatoes because they were always available at home,” said Shahnaz, 25, who has radically changed the diet of her six children, weak and frequently sick, after a year of classes.Now, convinced that children should eat a varied diet, she has introduced affordable ingredients such as lentils and semolina into her cooking, lifting her daughter out of malnutrition. In impoverished rural Sindh province, 48 percent of children under five suffer from malnutrition and 20 percent from its most severe form, wasting, according to the latest national survey on the issue conducted in 2018. In this class, Azma, a social worker, shows mothers how to cook with semolina — easily available in the market. “Semolina is cheap — for 50 rupees it can last a week if you’re feeding one to two spoonfuls daily to a six-month-old child,” she explained to AFP. In Sindh, a province of 55 million people where contraception remains taboo and large families are the norm, 3,500 mothers have benefited from cooking classes developed by UNICEF. Like many mothers in the area, Kulsoom, 23 and pregnant with her sixth child, all born prematurely and underweight, once only fed her children pieces of fried flatbread.”One of my children died, and my youngest is extremely weak, so I was advised to take these classes,” said Kulsoom, who goes by only one name, like most women in her district. – No spices -Parents are recommended to feed babies solid foods from about six months old, but in rural Sindh this often means adult leftovers, too spicy for young stomachs.”The main problem is the lack of dietary diversity,” says Mazhar Iqbal, a nutritionist for UNICEF.In Pakistan, 38 percent of children eat only two or fewer of the eight food categories recommended by UNICEF.Meat is saved for special occasions, yet inexpensive protein alternatives exist such as chicken offal, boiled bones, lentils and beans. As for fruit and vegetables, they are usually fried, losing their nutrients. Bakhtawar Kareem joined the programme after her child died of anaemia. “I have no money. Sometimes we eat, sometimes we don’t,” she lamented, scanning the swollen belly of her one-year-old daughter, who has only sparse clumps of hair. Like 72 percent of children in the village, her daughter has stunting, well above the average rate in Pakistan of 42 percent — one of the highest in the world. Stunting is most closely associated with brain development and physical growth, and can have long-term physical and mental impacts. Vulnerable to a lack of clean water and sanitation which contributes to malnutrition, children often also suffer from dengue fever or malaria, from vomiting, diarrhoea, or difficulty urinating, and have abnormally swollen bellies. – Women eat leftovers -But the vicious cycle of malnutrition begins with the mothers. “With early marriages and repeated pregnancies, more than 45 percent of women in Sindh are anaemic,” said the nutritionist. “This increases the risk of having low birth weight babies, who are more likely to suffer from malnutrition.” In Sujawal, where only a quarter of the population can read and write, myths about food also deprive women of vital nutrients. Farrah Naz, the head of the Global Alliance for Improved Nutrition in Pakistan, regularly has to repeat that eggs and dried fruits do not cause women to bleed more during their periods. Cultural norms around women serving meals to men first and eating the leftovers — despite the physical work they carry out in the fields — also contributes to poor health. “And when food runs out, it’s their rations that are cut first.” 

Lebanon to discuss army’s plan to disarm Hezbollah

The Lebanese government is set to discuss on Friday an army plan to disarm Hezbollah, which the Iran-backed group opposes, accusing the cabinet of playing into the hands of Israel and the United States.In August, under heavy US pressure and fearing Israel would intensify its strikes, Lebanon’s government ordered the army to draw up a plan for disarming Hezbollah by the end of the year.Hezbollah reiterated its opposition to the move on Wednesday, with its parliamentary bloc calling on Lebanese authorities to “reverse their… unpatriotic decision”.The government says disarming Hezbollah is part of implementing the US-brokered ceasefire agreement from November that ended over a year of hostilities between the group and Israel. Friday’s cabinet session comes amid intensified Israeli airstrikes on southern Lebanon over the past two days, which killed at least five people, according to the health ministry and the state-run National News Agency.David Wood, a senior Lebanon analyst at the International Crisis Group, told AFP that “Israel is trying to send a message that only concrete action on disarmament, rather than pledges and words, will do the job”.Should the cabinet approve the plan, Wood said Hezbollah could consider other options like “imposing pressure on the Shiite ministers to resign from the government” or “trying to organise mass protests”.Al Akhbar, a Lebanese pro-Hezbollah newspaper, said that Hezbollah and Amal ministers might refuse to discuss the army’s plan on Friday.In an attempt to ease tensions, speaker of parliament and head of the Hezbollah-allied Amal movement Nabih Berri called on Sunday for discussions to be “a calm and consensual dialogue”.- ‘Momentous’ -In late August, Prime Minister Nawaf Salam said “the path of monopolising arms, extending state authority and monopolising decisions on war and peace is a path that has begun and there is no turning back”.Hezbollah was the most powerful political force in Lebanon before its most recent war with Israel, able to sway and disrupt governments. The balance of power in Lebanon has since shifted, with Hezbollah badly weakened by the war as well as the overthrow of its ally Bashar al-Assad in Syria.The group’s leader Naim Qassem accused Lebanon’s government of handing the country to Israel by pushing for its disarmament.Qassem also said Hezbollah and Amal had postponed a previous call for protest to allow room for discussion and “to make adjustments before we reach a confrontation that no one wants”.However, he added, “if it is imposed on us, we will face it”.Hezbollah was the only group to keep its weapons after Lebanon’s 1975-1990 civil war, doing so in the name of resistance against Israel, which occupied the south until 2000.

Bangladesh eyes end to treasure trove bank vault mystery

For more than a century, the fate of the dazzling Darya-e-Noor diamond has been sealed inside a bank vault — a mystery that haunts Khawaja Naim Murad, descendant of the former princes, or Nawabs, of Dhaka.Locked away in 1908, were the family’s heirlooms lost during the violence at the end of British rule in 1947?Did they survive Bangladesh’s war of independence in 1971 and the string of coups that followed, or are they still safe, dusty but untouched?Many suspect the jewels are long gone, and officials at the state-run bank hesitate to simply open the vault, fearing they’d carry the cost if it is empty.But the cash-strapped South Asian government have now ordered a committee unseal the vault — and Murad clings to hope.”This is not a fairytale,” said Murad, 55, recounting a story passed down from his father about the giant diamond dubbed the “River of Light”, the centrepiece rock of glittering armband.”The diamond was rectangular in shape and surrounded by more than half a dozen smaller diamonds,” Murad told AFP.It was part of a trove of 108 treasures. According to original court documents, they include a gold-and-silver sword encrusted with diamonds, a bejewelled fez with cascading pearls, and a fabulous star brooch once owned by a French empress.- History and myth -The nawab’s riverside pink palace of Ahsan Manzil is now a government museum.Murad, a former popular film star, lives in a sprawling villa in a wealthy Dhaka suburb.He flourished a sheaf of documents, including a family book with detailed paintings of the treasures.”It is one of the most famous diamonds in the world, and its history is closely associated with that of the Koh-i-Noor,” the book reports, referring to the shining centrepiece of Britain’s crown jewels — a gem also claimed by Afghanistan, India, Iran and Pakistan.”It is absolutely perfect in lustre.”Another diamond of the same name, the pink-hued Daria-i-Noor, is in Tehran as part of Iran’s former royal jewels.Murad maintains that the family’s diamond, too, was once owned by Persia’s shahs, then worn by Sikh warrior-leader Ranjit Singh in 19th-century Punjab. It was later seized by the British and eventually acquired by his ancestors.But fortunes shifted. In 1908, the then-nawab — Murad’s great-grandfather — faced financial trouble.Sir Salimullah Bahadur borrowed from British colonial powers — mortgaging his vast Dhaka estates and placing the treasures in a vault as collateral.That was their last confirmed sighting. Since then, myth and history merge.Murad believes his uncle saw the jewels in the bank in the 1980s, but bank officials say they do not know if the vault has ever been opened.Chairman of the Bangladesh’s Land Reforms Board, AJM Salahuddin Nagri, says the government body inherited custody of the trove, held in a state-owned bank.”But I haven’t seen any of the jewels yet,” he told AFP.- ‘Vault is sealed’ -The 1908 court papers did not specify the diamond’s carat weight but valued it at 500,000 rupees — part of a hoard worth 1.8 million rupees.By today’s conversion, that equals roughly $13 million, though experts say the market value of such rare and large jewels has since sometimes soared many times higher.Today’s guardian, Shawkat Ali Khan, managing director of Sonali Bank, said the safe remains shut.”The vault is sealed,” Khan said. “Many years back, an inspection team came to check on the jewels, but they never really opened it — they just opened the gate that held the vault.”He is keen for the vault to be opened at last, though no date yet has been given.”I am excited,” he said with a brief smile.The family hope to discover if any of the century-old debt remains, and whether they could reclaim the jewels.Murad dreams of diamonds, but says his real wish is to simply see the treasure for himself.”We believe that if anyone dies in debt, his soul never finds peace,” he said.

Trump rebrands Department of Defense as ‘Department of War’

President Donald Trump is changing the name of the Department of Defense to the Department of War, the White House announced Thursday, insisting the rebrand will project a more powerful image.While the department’s official name is set in law, Trump in an executive order is authorizing use of the new label as a “secondary title” by his administration, a White House document said.Defense officials are permitted to use to use “secondary titles such as ‘Secretary of War,’…in official correspondence, public communications, ceremonial contexts, and non-statutory documents within the executive branch,” according to the document.It was not immediately clear when Trump planned to sign the order, but his public schedule for Friday said he would be signing executive orders in the afternoon as well as making an announcement in the Oval Office.The president, a marketing-savvy real estate developer, has repeatedly said in recent weeks that he was mulling such a change.Late last month, the 79-year-old Republican claimed the Defense Department’s title was too “defensive.”The Department of War “was the name when we won World War I, we won World War II, we won everything,” he told reporters on August 25.According to the White House document, the name change “conveys a stronger message of readiness and resolve.”Established in the early days of US independence, the Department of War historically oversaw American land forces.A government reorganization after World War II brought it along with the US Navy and Air Force under the unified National Military Establishment, which in 1949 was retitled to the Department of Defense.”Restoring the name ‘Department of War’ will sharpen the focus of this Department on our national interest and signal to adversaries America’s readiness to wage war to secure its interests,” the White House document said.The move is the latest overhaul at the Pentagon since Trump took office in January and appointed former Fox News host Pete Hegseth to lead the sprawling department.Hegseth, a combat veteran, has repeatedly touted the push to restore a “warrior ethos” in the department, and has lambasted prior administrations for policies he and Trump have derided as “woke.”Hegseth notably has sought to expel transgender troops from the military and change the names of bases that honored Confederate troops back to their original titles, after they were renamed under former president Joe Biden.While Trump’s order could potentially be rescinded by a future president, it “instructs the Secretary of War to recommend actions, to include legislative and executive actions, required to permanently rename” the department, the White House document said.