What’s behind Trump’s risky cheap dollar dalliance?

The US dollar sank to a four-and-a-half-year low against the euro this week after President Donald Trump said the weakened currency was doing “great.”While US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent backed a strong dollar the very next day, market watchers viewed Trump’s remark as the latest sign the president sees a lower greenback as connected to goals of lowering the trade deficit and boosting US manufacturing.A lower dollar brings mixed effects, boosting the competitiveness of US exporters but inflicting higher prices on cash-strapped consumers for imported goods.- How weak is the US dollar? -The US currency has fallen about 12 percent since Trump took office in January 2025 based on the dollar index, which measures the greenback against the euro, the yen and four other currencies.But that pullback came after the US currency had rallied almost six percent between Trump’s Election Day win in November 2024 and his inauguration.Moreover, the US currency is not especially weak on an historic basis. The euro on Tuesday night breached $1.20 for the first time since 2021. But that is still well below the all-time of more than $1.60 in July 2008. – Why has the dollar declined under Trump? -The greenback moved sharply lower Tuesday after Trump was asked if he thought it had dropped too much.”No, I think it’s great,” Trump said in Iowa. “Look at the business we’re doing.”While the remark was somewhat impactful, it came after “the biggest move in the dollar had already happened,” said Francesco Pesole, a foreign exchange strategist at ING.Pesole ties the dollar’s recent bout of weakness to a renewal of the “sell America” trade following Trump’s threats of new tariffs on Europe over Greenland. Much as with the aggressive “Liberation Day” tariff announcement in April, Trump eventually backed off the Greenland-related levies.But the episode highlighted the unpredictability of US policy under the 79-year-old president.Another factor is the impending appointment of a new head of the Federal Reserve to replace Jerome Powell, whom Trump has lambasted for not cutting interest rates sufficiently.Powell’s replacement by a Fed chair who favors significantly lower interest rates would lend further downward pressure on the dollar.- How does a weaker dollar affect the US economy? -A cheaper dollar means US exports become more competitive in overseas markets. That dynamic can help boost US manufacturing production while reducing the country’s trade deficit — two Trump administration priorities.Other benefits include lifting the financial results for US companies that report profits overseas and incentivizing foreign tourism to the United States.While presidents from both parties say they want a strong dollar, “under the surface -– sometimes they say it outright, sometimes they don’t say it outright –- they’ll be looking for a weaker currency to help them achieve their economic agenda,” said Oren Klachkin, an economist at Nationwide.In a November 2024 paper, Stephan Miran, Trump’s Chairman of the Council of Economic Advisors and a Federal Reserve board member, argued that addressing the “persistent dollar overvaluation” was essential to revamping global trade.But a downside of a cheap dollar is to increase the prices US consumers face on imported goods, said ForexLive’s Adam Button, who argues the US is “playing with fire.””The risk of a falling dollar is that that inflation re-accelerates,” said Button, who sees a risk that investors will view a declining dollar as a sign other US assets should be avoided.”If you have the rest of the world investing trillions in the US bond market, that’s keeping borrowing rates in the US low,” said Button.”The rest of the world is subsidizing American deficits, and that is a tremendous benefit to everything in the US. But that is not a guarantee forever.”

Minnesota Somalis organize house call care amid ICE raid fears

Two Somali-American co-workers have created a network to provide medical house calls to community members afraid to go outside in the face of the massive immigration operation underway in Minnesota.The paranoia and fear fomented by the sweeping immigration crackdown in the Midwestern state has led many migrants — both those with legal status and those without — to shelter at home, campaigners say.Members of migrant communities have avoided medical treatment, been unable to purchase essentials, lost jobs and even taken their children out of school to avoid venturing outside where they are more vulnerable to immigration checks.Hafsa, a mental health student, was spurred to act after an acquaintance delayed seeking medical help for their child, meaning the youth’s condition deteriorated by the time they sought help. “I got a call from a mom that that’s a immigrant and she was afraid to go to the hospital, and her child is now in the Intensive Care Unit,” said the Somali-born American who, like all of the St. Paul-based volunteers, gave only their first name for fear of retaliation.Somalis have been at the forefront of Donald Trump’s aggressive anti-immigrant campaign, with the US president branding the community “garbage,” questioning its intelligence and calling for deportations to intensify.Immigration officers have been seen at hospitals and clinics, waiting for patients and questioning them about their legal status, according to a recent article in the American Journal of Managed Care.That has led to a surge in “healthcare avoidance” in the Somali and Hispanic communities, it reported.Beyond connecting people in St. Paul, which along with Minneapolis makes up the Twin Cities, to health care workers willing to make house calls, the volunteers also devote resources to vetting the medical staff themselves.”It is a lot of work because you want to make sure that whoever you’re sending to that person’s house is somebody who doesn’t have any ill intentions. So you’re making a lot of calls,” said Hafsa, 25.Care is taken to ensure the travelling health workers are not followed by Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) officers as they drive to migrants’ homes.The small, informal team of volunteers spends upwards of 12 hours daily answering calls, matching community members to care, and onboarding the professionals.”You get their skills, and then… there might be an intake form where they can list all that and their availability,” said volunteer Cass, 43, a compliance officer in health care. “It’s project management 101,” she added.- ‘Word of mouth’ -Beyond the slick, computerized tools, the volunteers rely on community contacts to raise awareness and receive referrals.”It’s just word of mouth,” said Musab, 34, an entrepreneur. He pointed to one of the women supporting the service and said she was “locked in with every single community member.””We’re a very collective community, so we know about each other’s statuses. So somebody would just call and say ‘Hey, this person is sick or whatever’.”Hafsa likened the community response in the face of the unprecedented immigration crackdown to giving first aid to a wounded patient.”We need as many hands on our body, patching all the wounds,” she said.After receiving an urgent call, Musab rose and put on his heavy down coat to fend off the bitterly cold conditions.”This brother actually works with people in recovery… So I think one of the kids might be sick, so I’m about to just go see kind of what I can help them out with and what they need,” he said heading out.The volunteers’ staging space, an events center in St. Paul, has been volunteered by a Somali businesswoman who made sweetened tea for the team.A room set aside for brides-to-be has been converted into a storeroom for the medical supplies and cold weather gear being donated from across the United States.Hafsa said the well-wishes that have accompanied the donations arriving in Amazon packages were helping to keep her going.”I cry from gratitude,” she said.

Trump dit espérer ne pas avoir à frapper l’Iran, qui promet de riposter

Donald Trump a déclaré jeudi espérer ne pas avoir à frapper l’Iran, Téhéran menaçant pour sa part de s’en prendre “instantanément” aux bases et porte-avions américains en cas d’attaque.”Nous sommes forts. Nous sommes puissants financièrement. Nous sommes puissants militairement. (…) Et désormais nous avons un groupe (aéronaval) qui se dirige vers un pays appelé Iran. Et j’espère ne pas devoir utiliser cette force”, a déclaré le président américain, jeudi soir à Washington devant la presse. L’Union européenne a de son côté ajouté une pression supplémentaire jeudi, ses 27 ministres des Affaires étrangères s’accordant pour désigner comme “organisation terroriste” les Gardiens de la Révolution, bras armé de la République islamique accusé d’avoir orchestré la répression sanglante en janvier.”+Terroriste+, c’est bien ainsi que l’on qualifie un régime qui réprime les manifestations de son propre peuple dans le sang”, a déclaré la présidente de la Commission européenne Ursula von der Leyen.”Tout régime qui tue des milliers de ses propres citoyens travaille à sa propre perte”, a abondé la cheffe de la diplomatie européenne Kaja Kallas, tout en estimant, en réaction à l’éventualité de frappes américaines, que le Moyen-Orient n’avait pas besoin d’une “nouvelle guerre”.”Nous devons nous préparer à la guerre”, a pourtant dit le vice-président iranien Mohammad Reza Aref.L’Iran répondra “instantanément” en cas d’attaque, a renchérit le porte-parole de l’armée, évoquant les “sérieuses vulnérabilités” des porte-avions américains, quelques jours après l’arrivée au Moyen-Orient du porte-avions Abraham Lincoln avec son escorte.La riposte sera “écrasante”, avait promis peu avant le chef de l’armée Amir Hatami, annonçant avoir doté les régiments de combat de 1.000 drones.Le chef de la diplomatie iranienne Abbas Araghchi a, lui, qualifié d'”erreur stratégique majeure” la décision visant les Gardiens de la Révolution, et accusé l’Europe d'”attiser le feu”. Il doit se rendre vendredi en Turquie, pays souhaitant jouer un rôle de médiateur entre Téhéran et Washington.- Sanctions -Les Européens ont décidé de sanctionner plusieurs hauts responsables iraniens, dont le ministre de l’Intérieur, le chef de la police et plusieurs dirigeants des Gardiens de la Révolution.Au total, quelque 21 entités et individus sont ciblés par ces sanctions, qui prévoient une interdiction d’entrer dans l’UE et le gel des avoirs dans l’Union européenne.Si les Européens lient leurs sanctions à la répression de la contestation, Donald Trump a centré ses dernières menaces d’intervention militaire sur le dossier du nucléaire iranien, sans mentionner la situation intérieure en Iran.Réclamant un accord, il a averti mercredi sur son réseau Truth Social que le “temps était compté” avant une éventuelle attaque américaine, “pire” que celle menée en juin dernier contre des sites nucléaires iraniens.Le secrétaire général de l’ONU Antonio Guterres a, lui, appelé au dialogue avec l’Iran, notamment sur la question nucléaire, afin d’éviter une crise aux “conséquences dévastatrices pour la région”.- “Au plus bas” -A Téhéran jeudi, cafés et magasins étaient ouverts et les embouteillages avaient repris comme d’habitude dans le centre-ville, où des banderoles progouvernementales ont été déployées.Dans les rues, les habitants interrogés par l’AFP semblent résignés. “Je pense que la guerre est inévitable et qu’il faut un changement. Ca peut être pour le pire, ou pour le meilleur, je ne suis pas sûre”, déclare une serveuse de 29 ans sous couvert d’anonymat.”Dans la vie, il y a des hauts et des bas. Et là nous sommes au plus bas”, estime une autre femme du même âge, dans un quartier aisé du nord de Téhéran.Les voies diplomatiques ne semblent toutefois pas encore totalement épuisées. Le chef de la diplomatie iranienne a mené cette semaine des tractations avec les pays du Golfe, opposés à une intervention américaine. “Cela plongerait la région dans le chaos, affecterait l’économie et ferait exploser les prix du pétrole et du gaz”, a confié à l’AFP un responsable d’un de ces pays sous couvert d’anonymat, alors que le cours du baril de brut a bondi au plus haut depuis août.Dans la soirée de jeudi, le président iranien Massoud Pezeshkian et l’émir du Qatar, le cheikh Tamim ben Hamad Al Thani, ont parlé d’efforts en vue d’une “désescalade” dans la région.Les bilans des ONG sur la violente répression qui s’est abattue sur les manifestants en janvier font état de milliers, voire de dizaines de milliers de morts.D’après un nouveau décompte de l’ONG Human Rights Activists News Agency (HRANA), établie aux Etats-Unis, 6.479 personnes, parmi lesquels 6.092 manifestants, ont été tuées durant le mouvement de contestation et 11.020 ont été blessées.Mais le nombre de morts pourrait être bien plus élevé, avec plus de 17.000 décès en cours d’examen, écrit l’ONG dans un communiqué publié jeudi. Mercredi, HRANA avait par ailleurs comptabilisé 42.486 arrestations.

‘Batman’ confronts city over ICE Super Bowl plan

A man dressed as Batman berated officials in the California city set to host the Super Bowl next month over claims they could let ICE officers patrol the NFL championship game.The Caped Crusader took to the mic during the public comments section of Santa Clara city’s council meeting on Tuesday.He kicked things off with a “Ker-pow!” any superhero would be proud of, dropping an f-bomb as he slammed his fist into the lectern and demanded “what… are we doing here?””You have had months to prepare for this upcoming event,” he said of the game that will see the New England Patriots and the Seattle Seahawks battle it out for American football supremacy on February 8.”People are dying on our streets every single day in this country because we allow this federal government to walk all over you.”The outburst came with tensions running high in the United States over the deaths this month of two protesters in Minneapolis, both shot dead by federal agents in operations run by Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) and Border Patrol.”You need to affirm that no city resources will go to ICE, that no cooperation will be given to them.”The man’s real name was not known, but he was identifed as “Batman” on the clock counting down his speaking time.Santa Clara City did not immediately respond to an AFP request for comment.The involvement of ICE in Super Bowl 60 emerged as an issue when Corey Lewandowski, an adviser at the Department of Homeland Security, criticized the choice of Puerto Rican superstar Bad Bunny — a US citizen — as the star of the halftime show.”It’s so shameful that they’ve decided to pick somebody who just seems to hate America so much,” Lewandowski said in September.”There is nowhere that you can provide safe haven to people in this country illegally,” he added. “Not the Super Bowl and nowhere else.”Tickets for the gridiron finale start at around $6,000, making them out of reach for the vast majority of undocumented people, who tend to work in low-paying jobs.

Iran threatens to hit US bases and carriers in event of attack

Iran threatened Thursday to instantly strike US bases and aircraft carriers in response to any attack, after US President Donald Trump warned time was running out for Tehran and the EU blacklisted its Revolutionary Guards as a terror group.  As Brussels and Washington dialled up their own rhetoric and Iran issued stark threats, UN chief Antonio Guterres called for nuclear negotiations to “avoid a crisis that could have devastating consequences in the region”.  An Iranian military spokesman warned Tehran’s response to any US action would not be limited — as it was in June last year when American planes and missiles briefly joined Israel’s short air war against Iran — but would be a decisive response “delivered instantly”.  Brigadier General Mohammad Akraminia told state television US aircraft carriers have “serious vulnerabilities” and that numerous American bases in the Gulf region are “within the range of our medium-range missiles”.”If such a miscalculation is made by the Americans, it will certainly not unfold the way Trump imagines — carrying out a quick operation and then, two hours later, tweeting that the operation is over,” he said.An official in the Gulf, where states host US military sites, told AFP that fears of a US strike on Iran are “very clear”. “It would bring the region into chaos, it would hurt the economy not just in the region but in the US and cause oil and gas prices to skyrocket,” the official added. – ‘Protests crushed in blood’ -Qatar’s leader Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani and Iran’s President Masoud Pezeshkian held a call to discuss “efforts being made to de-escalate tensions and establish stability,” the Qatar News Agency (QNA) reported.The European Union, meanwhile, piled on the pressure by designating the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) a “terrorist organisation” over a deadly crackdown on recent mass protests.”‘Terrorist’ is indeed how you call a regime that crushes its own people’s protests in blood,” said EU chief Ursula von der Leyen, welcoming the “overdue” decision. Though largely symbolic, the EU decision has already drawn a warning from Tehran.Iran’s military slammed “the illogical, irresponsible and spite-driven action of the European Union”, alleging the bloc was acting out of “obedience” to Tehran’s arch-foes the United States and Israel. Iranian officials have blamed the recent protest wave on the two countries, claiming their agents spurred “riots” and a “terrorist operation” that hijacked peaceful rallies sparked over economic grievances. Rights groups have said thousands of people were killed during the protests by security forces, including the IRGC — the ideological arm of Tehran’s military. In Tehran on Thursday, citizens expressed grim resignation.”I think the war is inevitable and a change must happen. It can be for worse, or better. I am not sure,” said a 29-year-old waitress, speaking on condition of anonymity for fear of reprisals. “I am not in favour of war. I just want something to happen that would result in something better.”Another 29-year-old woman, an unemployed resident of an upscale neighbourhood in northern Tehran, told AFP: “I believe that life has highs and lows and we are now at the lowest point. “Neither the economic situation, nor our livelihood is good. It is the lowest for me.”Trump had threatened military action if protesters were killed in the anti-government demonstrations that erupted in late December and peaked on January 8 and 9. But his recent statements have turned to Iran’s nuclear programme, which the West believes is aimed at making an atomic bomb.On Wednesday, he said “time is running out” for Tehran to make a deal, warning a US naval strike group that arrived in Middle East waters on Monday was “ready, willing and able” to hit Iran. – Conflicting tolls -The US-based Human Rights Activists News Agency (HRANA) said it has confirmed 6,479people were killed in the protests, as internet restrictions imposed on January 8 continue to slow verification. But rights groups warn the toll is likely far higher, with estimates in the tens of thousands. Iranian authorities acknowledge that thousands were killed during the protests, giving a toll of more than 3,000 deaths, but say the majority were members of the security forces or bystanders killed by “rioters”. Billboards and banners have gone up in the capital Tehran to bolster the authorities’ messages. One massive poster appears to show an American aircraft carrier being destroyed.burs-sw-sjw/ceg/lb

Après la tempête à New York, des “jacuzzi” géants pour faire fondre la neige

Aux pieds des gratte-ciel de la pointe sud de Manhattan, deux pelleteuses déversent des tonnes de neige dans une remorque fumante. Objectif: la faire fondre pour dégager au plus vite les rues de New York après la tempête du week-end dernier.Plus de 30 cm de poudreuse sont tombés dimanche dans certaines parties de la ville. Depuis, …

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Le Britannique Starmer juge “vital” d’améliorer les relations avec la Chine

Le président chinois Xi Jinping et le Premier ministre britannique Keir Starmer ont salué jeudi à Pékin l’amélioration de la relation entre leurs pays, nécessaire selon eux malgré la persistance de différends sérieux.Il s’agit de la première visite en Chine d’un chef du gouvernement britannique depuis 2018, et elle intervient après une série d’autres déplacements …

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