US Gasoline Prices Seen Rebounding to $4 a Gallon on OPEC+ Cut

The surprise OPEC+ production cut will undoubtedly bring higher gasoline bills to US drivers as energy markets climb on tighter supplies.

(Bloomberg) — The surprise OPEC+ production cut will undoubtedly bring higher gasoline bills to US drivers as energy markets climb on tighter supplies. 

For pump prices, the move could add more than 50 cents a gallon to the US average, said Kevin Book, managing director of ClearView Energy Partners. The national average is now at about $3.50. 

A rally now would come just ahead of the busy summer driving season, when demand typically peaks. What’s more: There’s “room to run on the upside, because second-half oil balances were already poised to tighten considerably,” Book said. 

Gasoline prices have cooled after surging above $5 last year. But the production cuts from OPEC+ mean that more analysts now forecast that oil could reach $100 a barrel, which would likely bring more energy-driven inflation and a rebound for pump prices.

Still, while Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies control supply, the US and global economies remain a wildcard for demand and it’s unclear how long the jump for oil prices will last. When it comes to gasoline, “there will be an impact — oil is up big today, but it’s a knee-jerk reaction,” said Patrick De Haan, head of petroleum analysis at GasBuddy. “I’m not convinced that the cut will have much lasting power.”

 

More stories like this are available on bloomberg.com

©2023 Bloomberg L.P.