Sweden Government Revises Forecasts With Steeper GDP Contraction

Sweden’s government expects the economy to shrink more in 2023 than it previously expected, according to new forecasts released in connection with the spring budget.

(Bloomberg) — Sweden’s government expects the economy to shrink more in 2023 than it previously expected, according to new forecasts released in connection with the spring budget. 

“We are in a very challenging economic environment,” Finance Minister Elisabeth Svantesson said in a statement. “Many people are struggling to make ends meet, so it is important for the Government to fight inflation and support those in the most difficult circumstances.” 

Forecast Summary:

  • 2023 GDP is now expected to shrink by 1.0% vs -0.7% seen in December forecast
    • In 2024, GDP is expected to grow by 1.2% vs 1.0% growth expected in December
  • 2023 CPIF inflation seen at 5.9% vs previous forecast 6.0%
  • 2023 unemployment seen at 7.9% vs 7.8% previously
  • Government net lending of -0.4% of GDP in 2023, previously saw a balance

 

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