Stocks snapped back as bond yields retreated at the end of a jittery week that saw investors positioning for a higher-for-longer Federal Reserve stance. Oil rebounded.
(Bloomberg) — Stocks snapped back as bond yields retreated at the end of a jittery week that saw investors positioning for a higher-for-longer Federal Reserve stance. Oil rebounded.
The S&P 500 rose from nearly oversold levels, while the Nasdaq 100 outperformed. Apple Inc. climbed as its latest iPhones and watches went on sale. US-listed Chinese shares rallied on news Washington and Beijing are forming working groups to discuss economic and financial issues. General Motors Co. and Stellantis NV face walkouts at 38 more facilities as talks with their workers’ union failed to make headway, even as Ford Motor Co. was spared the escalation after making progress in the negotiations.
Treasury 10-year yields dropped after briefly topping 4.5% for the first time since 2007. The dollar fluctuated. The yen came under renewed pressure after Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda tamped down speculation of a near-term hike, sticking with its ultra-easy stimulus.
“We could get some relief,” said Matt Maley, chief market strategist at Miller Tabak + Co. “However, with bond yields still at 15-year highs (albeit slightly lower than yesterday), it’s going to be difficult for a bounce to gain much traction going forward.”
Traders are still very concerned about inflation and the path of policy amid the recent oil rally and the Fed’s signal that rates are not going to come down any time soon, according to Fawad Razaqzada, a market analyst at City Index and Forex.com.
“It is far too early to say the markets have bottomed, as fundamentally nothing has changed,” Razaqzada noted. “Today’s recovery looks like is driven by profit-taking more than anything, as bonds, indices and major currencies tested some key levels.”
Two Fed officials said at least one more rate hike is possible and that borrowing costs may need to stay higher for longer for the central bank to ease inflation back to its 2% target. While Boston Fed President Susan Collins said further tightening “is certainly not off the table,” Governor Michelle Bowman signaled that more than one increase will probably be required, cementing her position as one of the Federal Open Market Committee’s most hawkish members.
A report showed US business activity stagnated in early September, driven by a further moderation in demand at service providers. A gauge of US inflation activity slowed to 2.98% in August, according to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
The yield on 10-year Treasuries could reach 4.75% before softer risk sentiment and tighter financial conditions push it lower into year-end, according to rates strategists at Bank of America Corp. Meantime, strategists at Goldman Sachs Group Inc. said the rates market pricing for about 75 basis points of Fed rate cuts in 2024 may persist “in the near term” based on soft economic data and the latest dot plot.
Investors dumped equities at the fastest pace since December as the prospect of higher-for-longer interest rates raises the risk of a recession, BofA strategists led by led by Michael Hartnett said.
Global equity funds had outflows of $16.9 billion in the week through Sept. 20, according to a note from the bank citing EPFR Global data. US stock funds led the exodus, while in Europe, redemptions reached 28 weeks.
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Corporate Highlights
- Microsoft Corp.’s $69 billion acquisition of Activision Blizzard Inc. looks set to clear its final regulatory hurdle after the UK competition authorities signaled they will accept the latest concessions, ending a wait of more than a year and a half to complete the biggest ever gaming deal.
- Amazon.com Inc., following other streaming platforms looking to further monetize their content, will run ads on its Prime Video service in key markets – a move that will help offset rising costs and provide a boost to an already robust advertising business.
- Arm Holdings Plc got a neutral rating at Susquehanna Financial, the latest firm to take a more cautious view of the newly public chip designer.
- Nikola Corp. said it’s offering $40 million of senior convertible notes due in 2024.
Some of the main moves in markets:
Stocks
- The S&P 500 rose 0.3% as of 12:03 p.m. New York time
- The Nasdaq 100 rose 0.8%
- The Dow Jones Industrial Average was little changed
- The Stoxx Europe 600 fell 0.3%
- The MSCI World index rose 0.3%
Currencies
- The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index was little changed
- The euro was little changed at $1.0659
- The British pound fell 0.4% to $1.2253
- The Japanese yen fell 0.4% to 148.25 per dollar
Cryptocurrencies
- Bitcoin rose 0.1% to $26,638.12
- Ether rose 0.3% to $1,593.55
Bonds
- The yield on 10-year Treasuries declined six basis points to 4.44%
- Germany’s 10-year yield was little changed at 2.74%
- Britain’s 10-year yield declined six basis points to 4.25%
Commodities
- West Texas Intermediate crude rose 0.4% to $89.96 a barrel
- Gold futures rose 0.4% to $1,948.20 an ounce
This story was produced with the assistance of Bloomberg Automation.
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