Stocks Bounce as Oil Sinks Below $70 Before Fed: Markets Wrap

Stocks rose, rebounding from Tuesday’s heavy losses, with traders expecting the Federal Reserve to signal a pause in its aggressive hiking cycle after a potential rate hike in May.

(Bloomberg) — Stocks rose, rebounding from Tuesday’s heavy losses, with traders expecting the Federal Reserve to signal a pause in its aggressive hiking cycle after a potential rate hike in May.

The S&P 500 posted a small gain as shares of regional banks stabilized. Treasury yields dropped alongside the dollar after a private report showed US companies added more jobs than forecast in April. Crude futures dipped below $70 a barrel in New York as the prospect of a US recession threatened to curb fuel demand.

“Despite contagion spreading across the regional bank space, we expect the Fed to squeeze in a final 25 basis point hike before pausing to assess the impact of the significant and rapid tightening to date,” Mizuho strategists Evelyne Gomez-Liechti and Helen Rodriguez wrote in a note.

Adding to the uncertain mood is a lack of clarity regarding the US debt ceiling. Between now and June 1 — the date by which the Treasury Department may run out of sufficient cash — President Joe Biden and members of the House and Senate are scheduled to be in town at the same time for one week to find a solution.

“It is a key event risk in the next few weeks and possibly a month or two,” Aninda Mitra, head of Asia macro and investment strategy at BNY Mellon Investment Management in Singapore, said on Bloomberg Television. “It feeds into our overall defensiveness, which we are advocating in our asset allocation recommendations to be long fixed income in this kind of an environment and underweight equities.”

Key events this week:

  • US initial jobless claims, trade balance, Thursday
  • European Central Bank rate decision, followed by ECB President Christine Lagarde’s news conference, Thursday
  • US unemployment, nonfarm payrolls, Friday

Here are some of the main market moves:

Stocks

  • The S&P 500 rose 0.1% as of 9:31 a.m. New York time
  • The Nasdaq 100 was little changed
  • The Dow Jones Industrial Average was little changed
  • The Stoxx Europe 600 rose 0.3%
  • The MSCI World index rose 0.2%

Currencies

  • The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index fell 0.3%
  • The euro rose 0.4% to $1.1039
  • The British pound rose 0.3% to $1.2508
  • The Japanese yen rose 0.9% to 135.30 per dollar

Cryptocurrencies

  • Bitcoin fell 1.5% to $28,277.27
  • Ether fell 0.8% to $1,854.78

Bonds

  • The yield on 10-year Treasuries declined four basis points to 3.39%
  • Germany’s 10-year yield declined two basis points to 2.24%
  • Britain’s 10-year yield was little changed at 3.67%

Commodities

  • West Texas Intermediate crude fell 3.3% to $69.29 a barrel
  • Gold futures rose 0.2% to $2,026.60 an ounce

This story was produced with the assistance of Bloomberg Automation.

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