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What is the status of US tariff negotiations?

US tariff negotiations with key trading partners have shifted into high gear as economies race to avoid steeper duties before an August 1 deadline.Many of these tariff hikes were part of a package first announced in April, under which dozens of economies were due to face higher levies — up from a 10 percent level — over their trade surpluses with the United States.The twice-postponed deadline for duties to take effect is now Friday, August 1.But Washington has expanded its group of targets coming up against these tariffs, while announcing agreements with the European Union, Britain, Vietnam, Japan, Indonesia and the Philippines.A deal with the European Union unveiled on Sunday sees a 15 percent tariff imposed on European exports to the United States, down from the 30 percent that Trump earlier threatened.Where do other US trade talks stand?- South Korea: Heightened pressure -Seoul is racing to reach a deal with Washington, as Tokyo’s success in landing an agreement has “amped up the pressure for South Korea,” a government source told AFP.Local media reported that Seoul was preparing to propose more than $100 billion in investment as part of a broader agreement, with expected participation by major firms such as Samsung and Hyundai Motor. The South Korean government did not confirm this.But South Korean officials have outlined proposals to deepen collaboration in sectors like shipbuilding, semiconductors and batteries.National Security Advisor Wi Sung-lak has told reporters that the two countries are in “the final and most crucial phase of negotiations” to avert Trump’s proposed 25 percent duty.- India: Cautious optimism -Indian Commerce Minister Piyush Goyal told Bloomberg Television Thursday that he was optimistic his country could reach an agreement with the United States to avert Washington’s 26 percent tariff threat.Goyal insisted there were not any sticking points in the US-India relationship or in trade talks, and clarified that immigration rules —- including those around H-1B visas for skilled workers — had not come up in negotiations.Despite Goyal’s remarks, local media reported the prospects of an interim deal before August 1 had dimmed.- Taiwan: Working hard -Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai said Thursday that officials are “working hard” on negotiations, amid worries that an unfavorable tariff level could hit the self-ruled island’s economy.Vice President Hsiao Bi-khim said Taipei’s negotiating team was “working almost 24 hours a day to achieve trade balance and Taiwan’s industrial interests, and even to further deepen cooperation.”- Canada, Mexico: Deal unclear -Although Canada and Mexico were spared from Trump’s “reciprocal” tariffs announced in April, goods from both countries entering the United States generally face a separate 25 percent duty if they fall outside a North American trade pact.This figure stands to jump to 30 percent for Mexico come August 1, while the level for Canada was set at 35 percent.Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum said her administration was “doing everything” possible to avert the duties and that she would speak with Trump if necessary to try to reach a pact.Trump told reporters Friday there was no deal with Canada so far.- Brazil: Political nature -Brazil is girding for a virtual trade embargo on its planes, grains and other goods if Trump’s threatened 50 percent tariff on its exports takes effect on August 1.The United States runs a trade surplus with Latin America’s biggest economy, which was not originally expected to face steeper tariffs under Trump’s “reciprocal” duties plan.Trump has not attempted to hide the political motivation in targeting Brazil, citing a judicial “witch hunt” against his right-wing ally, former president Jair Bolsonaro, when he unveiled the tariff rate.The political nature of the spat makes a last-minute deal appear less likely.burs-jug-bys/sst

State of play in Trump’s tariffs, threats and delays

Dozens of economies including India, Canada and Mexico face threats of higher tariffs Friday if they fail to strike deals with Washington.Here is a summary of duties President Donald Trump has introduced in his second term as he pressures allies and competitors alike to reshape US trade relationships.- Global tariffs -US “reciprocal” tariffs — imposed under legally contentious emergency powers — are due to jump from 10 percent to various steeper levels for a list of dozens of economies come August 1, including South Korea, India and Taiwan.The hikes were to take effect July 9 but Trump postponed them days before imposition, marking a second delay since their shock unveiling in April.A 10 percent “baseline” levy on most partners, which Trump imposed in April, remains in place.He has also issued letters dictating tariff rates above 10 percent for individual countries, including Brazil, which has a trade deficit with the United States and was not on the initial list of higher “reciprocal” rates.Several economies — the European Union, Britain, Vietnam, Japan, Indonesia and the Philippines — have struck initial tariff deals with Washington, while China managed to temporarily lower tit-for-tat duties.Certain products like pharmaceuticals, semiconductors and lumber are excluded from Trump’s “reciprocal” tariffs, but may face separate action under different authorities.This has been the case for steel, aluminum, and soon copper. Gold and silver, alongside energy commodities, are also exempted.Excluded too are Mexico and Canada, hit with a different set of tariffs, and countries like Russia and North Korea as they already face sanctions.- Canada, Mexico -Canadian and Mexican products were hit by 25 percent US tariffs shortly after Trump returned to office, with a lower rate for Canadian energy. Trump targeted both neighbors over illegal immigration and fentanyl trafficking, also invoking emergency powers.But trade negotiations have been bumpy. This month, Trump said Canadian goods will face a higher 35 percent duty from August 1, and Mexican goods will see a 30 percent level.Products entering the United States under the USMCA North American free trade pact, covering large swaths of goods, are expected to remain exempt — with Canadian energy resources and potash, used as fertilizer, to still face lower rates.- China focus -Trump has also taken special aim at China. The world’s two biggest economies engaged in an escalating tariffs war this year before their temporary pullback.The countries imposed triple-digit duties on each other at one point, a level described as a trade embargo.After high level talks, Washington lowered its levies on Chinese goods to 30 percent and Beijing slashed its own to 10 percent.This pause is set to expire August 12, and officials will meet for further talks on Monday and Tuesday in the Swedish capital Stockholm.The US level is higher as it includes a 20 percent tariff over China’s alleged role in the global fentanyl trade.Beyond expansive tariffs on Chinese products, Trump ordered the closure of a duty-free exemption for low-value parcels from the country. This adds to the cost of importing items like clothing and small electronics.- Autos, metals -Trump has targeted individual business sectors too, under more conventional national security grounds, imposing a 25 percent levy on steel and aluminum imports which he later doubled to 50 percent.The president has unveiled plans for a 50 percent tariff on copper imports starting August 1 as well and rolled out a 25 percent tariff on imported autos, although those entering under the USMCA can qualify for a lower rate.Trump’s auto tariffs impact vehicle parts too, but new rules ensure automakers paying vehicle tariffs will not also be charged for certain other duties.He has ongoing investigations into imports of lumber, semiconductors, pharmaceuticals and critical minerals that could trigger further duties.- Legal challenges -Several legal challenges have been filed against the tariffs Trump invoked citing emergencies.The US Court of International Trade ruled in May that the president had overstepped his authority, but a federal appeals court has allowed the duties to remain while it considers the case.If these tariffs are ultimately ruled illegal, companies could possibly seek reimbursements.

Humanoid robots embodiment of China’s AI ambitions

Serving craft beer, playing mahjong, stacking shelves and boxing, the dozens of humanoid robots at Shanghai’s World AI Conference (WAIC) this weekend were embodiments of China’s growing AI prowess and ambition.The annual event is primed at showcasing China’s progress in the ever-evolving field of artificial intelligence, with the government aiming to position the country as a world leader on both technology and regulation as it snaps at the United States’ heels.Opening the event on Saturday, Premier Li Qiang announced China would set up a new organisation for cooperation on AI governance, warning the benefits of development must be balanced with the risks.But in the cavernous expo next door, the mood was more giddy than concerned.”Demand is currently very strong, whether in terms of data, scenarios, model training, or artificial construction. The overall atmosphere in all these areas is very lively,” said Yang Yifan, R&D director at Transwarp, a Shanghai-based AI platform provider. This year’s WAIC is the first since a breakthrough moment for Chinese AI this January when startup DeepSeek unveiled an AI model that performed as well as top US systems for an apparent fraction of the cost.Organisers said the forum involved more than 800 companies, showcasing over 3,000 products — the undeniable crowd pleasers being the humanoid robots and their raft of slightly surreal party tricks. At one booth, a robot played drums, half a beat out of time, to Queen’s “We Will Rock You” while a man in safety goggles and a security vest hyped up a giggling crowd.Other droids, some dressed in working overalls or baseball caps, manned assembly lines, played curling with human opponents or sloppily served soft drinks from a dispenser.  While most of the machines on display were still a little jerky, the increasing sophistication year-on-year was clear to see. The Chinese government has poured support into robotics, an area in which some experts think China might already have the upper hand over the United States. At Hangzhou-based Unitree’s stall, its G1 android — around 130 centimetres (four feet) tall, with a two-hour battery life — kicked, pivoted and punched, keeping its balance with relative fluidity as it shadowboxed around a ring.Ahead of the conference’s opening, Unitree announced it would launch a full-size humanoid, the R1, for under $6,000. – ‘Digital humans’ -Most high-tech helpers don’t need hardware though. At the expo, AI companions — in the form of middle-aged businessmen, scantily clad women and ancient warriors — waved at people from screens, asking how their day was, while other stalls ran demos allowing visitors to create their own digital avatars.Tech giant Baidu on Saturday announced a new generation of technology for its “digital humans” — AI agents modelled on real people, which it says are “capable of thinking, making decisions, and collaborating”.The company recently ran a six-hour e-commerce broadcast hosted by the “digital human” of a well-known streamer and another avatar. The two agents beat the human streamer’s debut sales in some categories, Baidu said.Over ten thousand businesses are using the technology daily already, the department’s head Wu Chenxia told AFP. Asked about the impact on jobs — one of the major concerns raised around widespread AI adoption — Wu insisted that AI was a tool that should be used to improve quality and save time and effort, which still required human input.In China, the integration of AI into everyday life is beginning to pick up pace. At WAIC, Baidu also announced it had been granted a permit to operate fully driverless robotaxis in parts of the massive Pudong district, the service’s first foray into downtown Shanghai.For now, few visitors to the WAIC expo seemed worried about the potential ramifications of the back-flipping dog robots they were excitedly watching. “When it comes to China’s AI development, we have a comparatively good foundation of data and also a wealth of application scenarios,” said Transwarp’s Yang.   “There are many more opportunities for experimentation.”

New Zealand farmers battle pine forests to ‘save our sheep’

New Zealand sheep farmers are fighting to stop the loss of pasture to fast-spreading pine plantations, which earn government subsidies to soak up carbon emissions.Concern over the scale of the farm-to-forest switch led the government to impose a moratorium in December on any new conversions not already in the pipeline.But farmers say forestry companies are flouting the clampdown.Last month, farmers launched a “Save our Sheep” campaign to reverse the loss of productive farmland.Sheep numbers have plummeted to around 23 million, down from a peak of around 70 million in the 1980s, according to official figures.Falling wool prices and rising milk and beef costs initially drove the decline, but the emissions trading since 2008 has added to the strain.The government is now investigating potential breaches of its moratorium by forestry companies, which have been buying up farmland as recently as June.Federated Farmers — a lobby group for rural communities — submitted to the government “a list of properties we believe have been sold for carbon forestry” since the halt, a spokesman said.The federation is concerned about the sale of more than 15,200 hectares (37,600 acres) of farmland, he told AFP.Dean Rabbidge, who runs a farm outside the Southland town of Wyndham, said some of the newly purchased farms had already been planted with pine trees.- ‘Criminal’ -“They’re just ploughing on ahead, effectively giving the middle finger to the government announcement,” Rabbidge told AFP.The moratorium had created a “gold rush”, he said.”It’s criminal what’s happening.”Agriculture and Forestry Minister Todd McClay said the government would change the law by October because it had become more profitable to plant pine forests than to farm sheep.”The law will include clarity on what qualifies as legitimate evidence of a pre-December investment and enable any specific cases to be properly assessed,” McClay said.”Anyone who has bought land since December 4, 2024, irrespective of whether they also had trees or not, will not be able to register this land into the emissions trading scheme.”Rural New Zealand once abounded with rolling pastures, rickety wire fences hemming in millions of sheep chewing on the green grass.But Rabbidge said those days were gone.”You won’t see anything now,” he said. “You’re just driving through long pine tree tunnels — shaded, wet, and damp.”New Zealand is one of the rare countries to allow 100 percent of carbon emissions to be offset by forestry.”We’re not anti planting trees,” sheep farmer Ben Fraser told AFP. “There are areas of land that should be retired, that aren’t necessarily productive.”But the trading scheme had driven an excessive loss of sheep pastures to forestry, he said.”That’s the issue here.”- ‘So short-sighted’ -Fraser, who farms near the North Island town of Ohakune, said he had seen an exodus of people from the district in recent years.”Since 2018, there’ve been 17 farms converted to forestry,” he said. “That’s about 18,000 hectares gone. So you’re looking at about 180,000 sheep gone out of the district, plus lambs.”The loss of sheep impacted the region.”If the farms thrive, then the towns thrive because people come in and spend their money,” he said.”You’ve got farm suppliers, your fertiliser guys, your supermarkets, your butchers, all of that stuff struggling.”The local schools now have less kids in them. The people who stayed are now isolated, surrounded by pine trees.”Rabbidge said the same was happening in Southland.”This whole thing is just so short-sighted,” Rabbidge said.”Businesses here are forecasting anywhere between a 10 and 15 percent revenue reduction for the next financial year, and that’s all on the back of properties that have sold or have been planted out in pine trees,” he said.- ‘Lamb on a plate’ -“Think of all the shearers, the contractors, the transporters, the farm supply stores, the workers, the community centres, the schools, rugby clubs. Everything is affected by this.”Government figures from 2023 show agriculture accounted for more than half of New Zealand’s total greenhouse gas emissions.But farmers argue they have been working hard to reduce emissions, down more than 30 percent since the 1990s.”I could put a leg of lamb on a plate in London with a lower emissions profile, transport included, than a British farmer,” Rabbidge said.”We just use our natural resources. We’re not housing animals indoors and carting feed in and manure out.”Everything’s done outside and done at low cost, low and moderate intensity.”

US stocks end at records as markets eye tariff deadline

Wall Street stock indices ended at fresh records Friday as US investors bet on additional trade deals following this week’s breakthrough with Japan.US President Donald Trump cautioned that striking a deal with the European Union to reduce import tariffs will be a challenge. Trump has set an August 1 deadline for an accord.”I would say that we have a 50/50 chance, maybe less than that, but a 50/50 chance of making a deal with the EU,” Trump told reporters at the White House Friday.But US investors have adopted an optimistic stance about further accords given Trump’s record of suspending or delaying the most onerous tariffs. The S&P 500 finished at a fifth straight record and the tech-rich Nasdaq at a third straight record, capping an upbeat week. Equity markets elsewhere were more subdued.London, after a strong run on positive corporate news, finished slightly lower as did Frankfurt, while Paris closed just ahead after Asia lost ground.”There is no unifying theme across financial markets this month — instead markets are moving to the beat of their own drums,” concluded Kathleen Brooks, research director at XTB.Sentiment had been lifted earlier in the week by the announcement of a Japan-US deal, as well as signals that the EU could be closing in on its own accord with Washington.The “momentum has not been kept up, and European stocks are weaker at the end of the week,” noted Brooks.The EU is still forging ahead with contingency plans in case talks fail, with member states approving a 93 billion-euro ($109 billion) package of retaliatory counter-tariffs.With few positive catalysts to drive buying, Asian markets turned lower heading into the weekend.Tokyo retreated after a two-day rally and Hong Kong declined following five days of gains. Shanghai was also down. The dollar gained against major currencies, a reversal of the trend throughout much of 2025. The dollar fell the most in the first six months of 2025 since 1973.Trump said Friday that a weaker dollar can boost exports and tourism. “It doesn’t sound good, but you make a hell of a lot more money with a weaker dollar, not a weak dollar, but a weaker dollar, than you do with a strong dollar,” he told reporters at the White House.In corporate news, German auto giant Volkswagen said US tariffs had cost it 1.3 billion euros ($1.5 billion) in the first half of the year as it reported falling profits.After an initial drop, shares in the carmaker rose four percent in Frankfurt. German sportswear maker Puma saw its shares tumble around 16 percent after slashing its sales forecast and warning of a full year loss.Intel dropped 8.5 percent after reporting a $2.9 billion loss as it announced further cost-cutting initiatives. The company said it has cut about 15 percent of its workforce.- Key figures at around 2030 GMT -New York – Dow: UP 0.5 percent at 44,901.92 (close)New York – S&P 500: UP 0.4 percent at 6,388.64 (close)New York – Nasdaq Composite: UP 0.2 percent at 21,108.32 (close)London – FTSE 100: DOWN 0.2 percent at 9,120.31 (close)Paris – CAC 40: UP 0.2 percent at 7,834.58 (close)Frankfurt – DAX: DOWN 0.3 percent at 24,217.50 (close)Tokyo – Nikkei 225: DOWN 0.9 percent at 41,456.23 (close)Hong Kong – Hang Seng Index: DOWN 1.1 percent at 25,388.35 (close)Shanghai – Composite: DOWN 0.3 percent at 3,593.66 (close)Dollar/yen: UP at 147.68 yen from 147.01 yen on ThursdayEuro/dollar: DOWN at $1.1738 from $1.1749Pound/dollar: DOWN at $1.3431 from $1.3510Euro/pound: UP at 87.40 pence from 86.97 penceWest Texas Intermediate: DOWN 1.3 percent at $65.16 per barrelBrent North Sea Crude: DOWN 1.1 percent at $68.44 per barrel

Stock markets mark time as Trump puts EU-US trade deal at 50/50

Stock markets marked time Friday as the latest trade-related rally lost steam as US President Donald Trump rated the chances of Washington striking a trade deal with the European Union at barely 50/50.Wall Street indices were marginally higher in morning trading as the S&P continued its recent hot streak as investors  digested a mixed batch of corporate earnings.London, after a strong run on positive corporate news, finished slightly lower as did Frankfurt, while Paris closed just ahead after Asia lost ground.Equities have enjoyed a strong run for much of July on expectations that governments around the world will reach agreements with the United States to dodge threatened tariffs before next Friday’s deadline.But Trump cautioned that in his view striking a deal with the European Union to reduce import tariffs will be a challenge.”I would say that we have a 50/50 chance, maybe less than that, but a 50/50 chance of making a deal with the EU,” Trump told reporters at the White House.In the meantime, “there is no unifying theme across financial markets this month — instead markets are moving to the beat of their own drums,” concluded Kathleen Brooks, research director at XTB.Tesla, which had lost eight percent Thursday on lower profits and a “rough” outlook from CEO Elon Musk, regained  almost five percent.Sentiment had been lifted earlier in the week by the announcement of a Japan-US deal, as well as signals that the EU could be closing in on its own accord with Washington.The “momentum has not been kept up, and European stocks are weaker at the end of the week,” noted Brooks.Trade optimism stayed cautiously upbeat overall, as Brussels and Washington tried to steer towards a deal that would halve Trump’s threatened 30 percent levy, with a European Commission spokesman saying he believed an agreement was “within reach”. However, “there has been no confirmation from the US side. Thus, sentiment towards European assets could be fragile as we lead up to that August 1 tariff deadline”, Brooks added.The EU is still forging ahead with contingency plans in case talks fail, with member states approving a 93 billion-euro ($109 billion) package of retaliatory counter-tariffs.With few positive catalysts to drive buying, Asian markets turned lower heading into the weekend.Tokyo retreated after a two-day rally and Hong Kong declined following five days of gains. Shanghai was also down. While the S&P 500 and Nasdaq hit new records Thursday, another round of strong jobs data suggested the US Federal Reserve might have to delay cutting borrowing costs.The dollar extended gains against its major peers. The US president once again pressed Fed chief Jerome Powell to slash interest rates during a visit to its headquarters on Thursday.In corporate news, German auto giant Volkswagen said US tariffs had cost it 1.3 billion euros ($1.5 billion) in the first half of the year as it reported falling profits.After an initial drop, shares in the carmaker rose four percent in Frankfurt. German sportswear maker Puma saw its shares tumble around 16 percent after slashing its sales forecast and warning of a full year loss.- Key figures at around 1555 GMT -New York – Dow: UP 0.2 percent at 44,764.12 pointsNew York – S&P 500: UP 0.2 percent at 6,378.79New York – Nasdaq Composite: UP 0.2 percent at 21,106.04London – FTSE 100: DOWN 0.2 percent at 9,119.32 (close)Paris – CAC 40: UP 0.2 percent at 7,834.58 (close)Frankfurt – DAX: DOWN 0.3 percent at 24,233.08 (close)Tokyo – Nikkei 225: DOWN 0.9 percent at 41,456.23 (close)Hong Kong – Hang Seng Index: DOWN 1.1 percent at 25,388.35 (close)Shanghai – Composite: DOWN 0.3 percent at 3,593.66 (close)Dollar/yen: UP at 147.77 yen from 146.94 yen on ThursdayEuro/dollar: DOWN at $1.1727 from $1.1756Pound/dollar: DOWN at $1.3426 from $1.3507Euro/pound: UP at 87.34 pence from 87.01 penceWest Texas Intermediate: DOWN 1.0 percent at $65.37 per barrelBrent North Sea Crude: DOWN 0.8 percent at $68.62 per barrel

Stock markets stall as Trump puts EU-US trade deal at 50/50

Stock markets stalled Friday as the latest trade-related rally lost steam and US President Donald Trump rated the chances of Washington striking a trade deal with the European Union at barely 50/50.Wall Street indices stood barely in the green some 20 minutes into the session as investors also digested a mixed batch of corporate earnings, while major European indices were all down and Asia closed off.Equities have enjoyed a strong run for much of July on expectations that governments will reach agreements with the United States to dodge threatened tariffs before next Friday’s deadline.But Trump cautioned that in his view striking a deal with the European Union to reduce import tariffs will be a challenge.”I would say that we have a 50/50 chance, maybe less than that, but a 50/50 chance of making a deal with the EU,” Trump told reporters at the White House.Sentiment had been lifted earlier in the week by the announcement of a Japan-US deal, as well as signals that the EU could be closing in on its own accord with Washington.The “momentum has not been kept up, and European stocks are weaker at the end of the week,” said Kathleen Brooks, research director at trading group XTB.Trade optimism stayed cautiously upbeat, as Brussels and Washington appeared close to a deal that would halve Trump’s threatened 30 percent levy, with a European Commission spokesman saying he believed an agreement was “within reach”. However, “there has been no confirmation from the US side… thus, sentiment towards European assets could be fragile as we lead up to that August 1 tariff deadline”, Brooks added.The EU is still forging ahead with contingency plans in case talks fail, with member states approving a 93 billion-euro ($109 billion) package of counter-tariffs.With few positive catalysts to drive buying, Asian markets turned lower heading into the weekend.Tokyo retreated after a two-day rally and Hong Kong declined following five days of gains. Shanghai was also down. While the S&P 500 and Nasdaq hit new records Thursday, another round of strong jobs data suggested the US Federal Reserve might have to delay cutting borrowing costs.The dollar extended gains against its major peers as investors trimmed their rate forecasts.The US president once again pressed Fed chief Jerome Powell to slash interest rates during a visit to its headquarters on Thursday.In corporate news, German auto giant Volkswagen said US tariffs had cost it 1.3 billion euros ($1.5 billion) in the first half of the year as it reported falling profits.After an initial drop, shares in the carmaker were up more than four percent by mid-afternoon in Frankfurt. German sportswear maker Puma saw its shares tumble around 16 percent after slashing its sales forecast and warning of a full year loss.Meanwhile UK bank NatWest topped the gainers list on the FTSE 100, rising around three percent after reporting a rise in second-quarter net profit and lifting its full-year outlook.- Key figures at around 1355 GMT -New York – Dow: UP 0.1 percent at 44,745.67 pointsNew York – S&P 500: UP 0.1 percent at 6,371.35New York – Nasdaq Composite: UP 0.1 percent at 21,079.16London – FTSE 100: DOWN 0.4 percent at 9,101.11Paris – CAC 40: DOWN 0.3 percent at 7,796.52 Frankfurt – DAX: DOWN 0.5 percent at 24,170.80Tokyo – Nikkei 225: DOWN 0.9 percent at 41,456.23 (close)Hong Kong – Hang Seng Index: DOWN 1.1 percent at 25,388.35 (close)Shanghai – Composite: DOWN 0.3 percent at 3,593.66 (close)Dollar/yen: UP at 147.80 yen from 146.94 yen on ThursdayEuro/dollar: DOWN at $1.1710 from $1.1756Pound/dollar: DOWN at $1.3422 from $1.3507Euro/pound: UP at 87.25 pence from 87.01 penceWest Texas Intermediate: DOWN 0.1 percent at $65.99 per barrelBrent North Sea Crude: UP 0.2 percent at $69.21 per barrel

Stock markets turn lower as trade deal rally fades

Stock markets mostly fell Friday as the latest trade-related rally lost momentum, with investors also digesting a mixed batch of corporate earnings.Equities have enjoyed a strong run for much of July on expectations that governments will reach agreements with the United States to pare Donald Trump’s threatened tariffs before next Friday’s deadline.Sentiment was lifted earlier in the week by the announcement of a Japan-US deal, as well as signals that the European Union could be nearing its own agreement with Washington.The “momentum has not been kept up, and European stocks are weaker at the end of the week,” said Kathleen Brooks, research director at trading group XTB.London and Frankfurt stock markets both fell on Friday, while Paris edged up.Trade optimism stayed cautiously upbeat, as Brussels and Washington appear close to a deal that would halve Trump’s threatened 30 percent levy, with a European Commission spokesman saying he believed an agreement was “within reach”. However, “there has been no confirmation from the US side… thus, sentiment towards European assets could be fragile as we lead up to that August 1 tariff deadline,” Brooks added.The EU is still forging ahead with contingency plans in case talks fail, with member states approving a 93 billion-euro ($109 billion) package of counter-tariffs.With few positive catalysts to drive buying, Asian markets turned lower heading into the weekend.Tokyo retreated after a two-day rally and Hong Kong declined following five days of gains. Shanghai was also down. While the S&P 500 and Nasdaq hit new records Thursday, another round of strong jobs data suggested the Federal Reserve might have to delay cutting borrowing costs.The dollar extended gains against its major peers as investors trimmed their rate forecasts.The US president once again pressed Fed chief Jerome Powell to slash interest rates during a visit to its headquarters on Thursday.In corporate news, German auto giant Volkswagen said US tariffs had cost it 1.3 billion euros in the first half of the year as it reported falling profit.After an initial drop, shares in the carmaker were up more than three percent by midday in Frankfurt. German sportswear maker Puma saw its shares tumble around 18 percent after slashing its sales forecast and warning of a full year loss.While UK bank NatWest topped the gainers list on the FTSE 100, rising two percent after reporting a rise in second-quarter net profit and lifting its full-year outlook.- Key figures at around 1055 GMT -London – FTSE 100: DOWN 0.4 percent at 9,104.69 pointsParis – CAC 40: UP 0.1 percent at 7,824.21 Frankfurt – DAX: DOWN 0.6 percent at 24,143.85Tokyo – Nikkei 225: DOWN 0.9 percent at 41,456.23 (close)Hong Kong – Hang Seng Index: DOWN 1.1 percent at 25,388.35 (close)Shanghai – Composite: DOWN 0.3 percent at 3,593.66 (close)New York – Dow: DOWN 0.7 percent at 44,693.91 (close)Dollar/yen: UP at 147.79 yen from 146.94 yen on ThursdayEuro/dollar: DOWN at $1.1732 from $1.1756Pound/dollar: DOWN at $1.3458 from $1.3507Euro/pound: UP at 87.16 pence from 87.01 penceWest Texas Intermediate: UP 0.3 percent at $66.21 per barrelBrent North Sea Crude: UP 0.2 percent at $68.52 per barrel

Markets turn lower as trade war rally fades

Stock markets fell Friday as their latest rally ran out of legs, with sentiment weighed by strong US jobs data that saw investors row back their expectations for interest rate cuts.With Japan’s trade deal with Washington out of the way for now, attention was also turning to European Union attempts to reach an agreement to pare Donald Trump’s threatened tariffs before next Friday’s deadline.Equities have enjoyed a strong run-up for much of July on expectations governments will hammer out pacts, pushing some markets past or close to record highs.However, while Wall Street hit new records Thursday — S&P 500 chalked up its 10th in 19 sessions — another round of strong jobs data suggested the Federal Reserve might have to wait longer than hoped to cut borrowing costs.The 217,000 initial claims for unemployment benefits in the week to July 19 was the lowest since mid-April and suggested the labour market remains tight.The figures followed forecast-topping non-farm payrolls in June and come as inflation shows signs of picking up as Trump’s tariffs begin to bite.Traders are now betting on 42 basis points of rate cuts by the end of the year, according to Bloomberg News. That’s down from more than 50 previously.Meanwhile, a manufacturing survey showed US business confidence deteriorated in July for the second successive month, with companies worried about tariffs and cuts to federal spending.Trump continued to press Fed chief Jerome Powell to slash interest rates during a visit to its headquarters on Thursday, where they bickered over its renovation cost.The president, who wants to oust Powell over his refusal to cut, took a fresh dig during the trip, telling reporters: “As good as we’re doing, we’d do better if we had lower interest rates.”Trump’s anger at the Fed and his calls for officials to lower rates has raised concerns about the independence of the central bank, which is expected to stand pat at its policy meeting next week.”While unlikely to yield anything concrete, the optics of a president storming the temple of monetary orthodoxy is enough to put Powell watchers on edge,” said SPI Asset Management’s Stephen Innes.”The risk isn’t immediate policy change — it’s longer-term erosion of independence, and the signal that Powell may not be sitting as comfortably as markets assume.”Trade hopes remain elevated — Brussels and Washington appear close to a deal that would halve Trump’s threatened 30 percent levy, with a European Commission spokesman saying he believed an agreement was “within reach”. The bloc, however, is still forging ahead with contingency plans in case talks fail, with member states approving a 93 billion-euro ($109 billion) package of counter-tariffs.With few positive catalysts to drive buying, Asian markets turned lower heading into the weekend.Tokyo retreated after putting on around five percent in the previous two days, while Hong Kong was also off following five days of gains.There were also losses in Shanghai, Sydney, Mumbai, Singapore and Manila. London, Paris and Frankfurt dropped in the morning.Seoul, Bangkok, Jakarta and Wellington edged up.The dollar extended gains against its peers as investors pared their rate forecasts.- Key figures at around 0810 GMT -Tokyo – Nikkei 225: DOWN 0.9 percent at 41,456.23 (close)Hong Kong – Hang Seng Index: DOWN 1.1 percent at 25,388.35 (close)Shanghai – Composite: DOWN 0.3 percent at 3,593.66 (close)London – FTSE 100: DOWN 0.4 percent at 9,103.42Dollar/yen: UP at 147.40 yen from 146.94 yen on ThursdayEuro/dollar: DOWN at $1.1751 from $1.1756Pound/dollar: DOWN at $1.3469 from $1.3507Euro/pound: UP at 87.28 pence from 87.01 penceWest Texas Intermediate: UP 0.4 percent at $66.33 per barrelBrent North Sea Crude: UP 0.5 percent at $69.53 per barrelNew York – Dow: DOWN 0.7 percent at 44,693.91 (close)

China’s premier tells EU leaders ‘we can’t afford’ massive industrial subsidies

Chinese Premier Li Qiang dismissed EU fears over Beijing’s allegedly excessive subsidies to its industry, telling the bloc’s leaders “we can’t afford it” in markedly candid remarks during a tense summit.Speaking during a roundtable with EU chief Ursula von der Leyen on Thursday, Li insisted that “China is by no means doing what some call a subsidies policy or fiscal subsidies”.”China is not as rich as Europe, and we can’t afford it,” he said.”We would not be stupid enough to use the fiscal funds accumulated through the government and the hard work of our people to sell our products to foreign consumers,” Li added.Von der Leyen and European Council President Antonio Costa were in Beijing on Thursday for a summit dominated by tensions between the EU and China over trade and Russia’s war in Ukraine.Chief among the bloc’s concerns was its yawning trade deficit with China, which stood at around $360 billion last year.The EU has also raised fears that Beijing’s vast subsidies to its industry could help it undercut European competitors with a flood of cheap exports to the continent.Li, China’s number two official, rejected those claims in a roundtable with the EU’s leadership. “Some enterprises, especially manufacturing enterprises, feel more deeply that China’s manufacturing capabilities are too strong, and Chinese people are too hardworking,” the Chinese premier said.”Factories run 24 hours a day,” he said.”Some people think this will cause some new problems in the balance of supply and demand in world production,” the Chinese premier said, admitting: “We see this problem too.”Li also rejected claims the Chinese economy — plagued by sluggish growth for years now — was in dire straits.”Of course, there are difficulties and challenges, but it is difficult for us to say that China’s economy is in a downturn,” he said.”Our GDP growth rate is always above five percent,” he insisted.