Afp Business Asia

Gold tops $4,000 for first time on political, economic worries

Gold topped $4,000 an ounce for the first time Wednesday as investors flocked to the safe haven metal on worries over the US government shutdown, France’s political crisis and other global economic uncertainties.US and European stock markets rose while Asian equities fell as investors also kept tabs on the AI investment boom and the prospect of further US interest rate cuts this year.Gold, considered a safe investment in times of uncertainty, reached an all-time high of nearly $4,060 an ounce Wednesday. Silver also rose close to a record high.”Gold is continuing to glitter, and it is a gift that keeps on giving,” said Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst at City Index and Forex.com.”Markets hate uncertainty, and right now, it’s in no short supply –- although stocks haven’t exactly sold off,” he added.”Instead, it is gold that continues to benefit from haven flows while stock markets continue to find buyers on the dips too,” he added.- US political deadlock -Parts of the US government began to close last week after Democrats and President Donald Trump failed to break a deadlock over spending.Steve Clayton, head of equity funds at Hargreaves Lansdown, noted that the price of gold had doubled over the last two years.While France’s political upheaval has contributed to the gold rush, the Paris stock market rose on Wednesday.President Emmanuel Macron is facing the worst domestic crisis of his mandate following the departure of his latest prime minister over a deadlocked debate on an austerity budget.Frankfurt’s DAX was also higher following mixed economic news.The German government raised its growth forecast for 2025 from zero to 0.2 percent growth, and its 2026 projection from one to 1.3 percent.Earlier, however, official data showed a sharp decline in industrial production in August, particularly in the automotive sector.Back in New York, investors have largely shrugged off the shutdown, viewing the negative impacts as likely to be reversed once the government reopens.But Art Hogan of B. Riley Wealth Management said lingering worries about the shutdown could become more consequential once earnings season gets underway in earnest if companies express caution over their outlook.There “could be a self-fulfilling slowdown in economic growth,” Hogan said.For now, US stocks continue to drift higher. Both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq ended at records.”Traders seem to consider the shutdown no more than a mild inconvenience due to the postponement of certain economic data releases,” said David Morrison, analyst at Trade Nation.”Instead, investors continue to expect more upside in US equities, supported by ongoing investment in artificial intelligence, along with the prospect of 50 basis-points-worth of rate cuts before the year-end,” he said.Futures markets expect the Fed to cut interest rates later this month.Among individual companies, chip company Advanced Micro Devices piled on 11.4 percent, extending a rally following an announcement of a big deal with OpenAI earlier this week. Fellow semiconductor companies Nvidia and Micron also rose.- Key figures at around 2020 GMT -New York – Dow: FLAT at 46,601.78 New York – S&P 500: UP 0.6 percent to 6,753.72New York – Nasdaq Composite: UP 1.1 percent to 23,043.38 London – FTSE 100: UP 0.7 percent at 9,548.87 (close)Paris – CAC 40: UP 1.1 percent at 8,060.13 (close)Frankfurt – DAX: UP 0.9 percent at 24,497.13 (close)Tokyo – Nikkei 225: DOWN 0.5 percent at 47,734.99 (close)Hong Kong – Hang Seng Index: DOWN 0.5 percent at 26,829.46 (close)Shanghai – Composite: Closed for a holidayEuro/dollar: DOWN at $1.1628 from $1.1657 on TuesdayPound/dollar: DOWN at $1.3401 from $1.3426Dollar/yen: UP at 152.64 yen from 152.70 yenEuro/pound: DOWN at 86.78 pence from 86.93 penceBrent North Sea Crude: UP 1.2 percent at $66.25 per barrelWest Texas Intermediate: UP 1.3 percent at $62.55 per barrel

World economy not doing as badly as feared, IMF chief says

The global economy is doing better than expected, even as it faces prolonged uncertainty and underwhelming medium-term growth prospects, the head of the IMF said Wednesday. The world economy is doing “better than feared, but worse than we need,” International Monetary Fund Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva told reporters in Washington.She added that the Fund now expects global growth to slow “only slightly this year and next,” propped up by better-than-expected conditions in the United States, and among some other advanced, emerging market and developing countries. Georgieva’s remarks came ahead of next week’s gathering of finance ministers and central bank governors at the World Bank and the IMF in Washington. Trade is once again likely to dominate the agenda at the annual meetings, following US President Donald Trump’s decision earlier this year to unleash sweeping tariffs against many trading partners.- ‘Multiple shocks’ -“All signs point to a world economy that has generally withstood acute strains from multiple shocks,” Georgieva said, pointing to “improved policy fundamentals,” the adaptability of the private sector, lower-than-expected tariffs, and supportive financial conditions. “The world has avoided a tit-for-tat slide into trade war — so far,” she added. She noted that the average US tariff rate has fallen from 23 percent in April to 17.5 percent today, while the US effective tariff rate of around 10 percent remains “far above” the rest of the world.But, she warned, the full effect of those tariffs “is still to unfold,” adding that the resilience of the world economy has yet to be “fully tested.” Against this backdrop, the Fund still expects global growth to remain at roughly three percent over the medium term, in line with previous forecasts — below the 3.7 percent, on average, seen before the Covid-19 pandemic.”Global growth patterns have been changing over the years, notably with China decelerating steadily while India develops into a key growth engine,” Georgieva said. To boost lackluster growth prospects elsewhere, she called on countries to act swiftly to “durably” lift output, rebuild fiscal buffers, and address “excessive” trade imbalances. The Fund’s prescriptions for policymakers differed by region, with Asia urged to deepen its internal trade, and to strengthen the service sector and access to finance. Carried out correctly, this could raise economic output by as much as 1.8 percent in the long run, Georgieva said. African countries should promote “business-friendly reforms” and continue with efforts to build up the Continental Free Trade Area which, she said, could lift their real GDP per capita by “over 10 percent.””Gains from this region can be especially large,” she said. – Tough love for Europe -Georgieva reserved her harshest criticism for Europe, which has struggled with economic growth in recent years, in marked contrast to the United States.To raise competition in the bloc, Georgieva called on the European Union to appoint a new “single market czar” to drive reforms, a move that would simplify the EU’s structure and consolidate the power to make the changes required. These changes include steps to deepen EU single market integration in financial services and energy. “Catch up with the private sector dynamism of the US,” she said, adding that Europe must “recognize that there will be some sacrifices on the way.”For the world’s largest economy, Georgieva urged the Trump administration to address the country’s federal deficit and to take steps to incentivize household savings. And for China, the world’s second-largest economy, Georgieva reiterated the IMF’s ongoing calls for fiscal reforms to boost private consumption and reduce dependence on industrial policy to drive growth. 

Gold tops $4,000 for first time as safe haven shines

Gold surpassed $4,000 an ounce for the first time Wednesday as investors piled into the safe haven investment over various economic concerns including the US government shutdown.”This latest high marks the latest stage in what has been a meteoric rise in the gold price, which has now doubled in the last two years,” noted Steve Clayton, head of equity funds at  Hargreaves Lansdown.The precious metal’s recent rally has also come amid concerns that a surge in the value of technology companies, which has helped drive stock markets to record highs, may have been overdone.Global economic uncertainty, US President Donald Trump’s tariffs war and geopolitical crises are supporting gold, according to analysts.It reached an all-time high above $4,040 an ounce Wednesday, while silver was also within a few dollars of its own record high.Elsewhere, stock markets largely rose in Europe after losses for major indices in Asia.The dollar traded mixed against main rivals and oil prices rose around one percent. The Paris CAC 40 index gained as France’s outgoing prime minister said consultations to end the country’s political crisis had shown cross-party willingness to agree on a budget by the end of the year.Frankfurt’s DAX was also higher despite a sharper-than-expected drop in German industrial production, reviving fears of a recession in Europe’s largest economy as it reels from US tariffs.The closure of parts of the US government is adding to the sense of unease among investors, with key economic data, including on jobs, being postponed and muddying the waters for the Federal Reserve as it tries to decide on its rate plans.While gold traders were busy pushing the metal ever higher, equity markets were more subdued in Asia as questions were asked about the hundreds of billions of dollars that have been invested in artificial intelligence.The AI boom has seen some indices and companies hit record highs, with chip titan Nvidia topping a $4 trillion valuation.But a report that software firm Oracle’s cloud computing profit margin was much lower than expected sent shivers through trading floors, with Wall Street falling into the red Tuesday.”In a market priced for perfection, any delay in cash flow — even a temporary one — feels like the bartender calling ‘last call’,” wrote Stephen Innes of SPI Asset Management.”Traders didn’t wait for clarification; they simply started easing out of their positions. The Oracle story didn’t crash the party, but it definitely sobered it.”Tech firms, which have enjoyed strong buying this year and in recent months, led selling in Asia, with Alibaba and JD.com down in Hong Kong, TSMC dropping in Taipei and Renesas sharply lower in Tokyo.The Tokyo stock market dropped after a strong start to the week, fuelled by optimism that the election of business-friendly conservative Sanae Takaichi as the ruling party’s leader will see more stimulus measures and a fresh push for monetary easing.- Key figures at around 1045 GMT -London – FTSE 100: UP 0.6 percent at 9,539.13 pointsParis – CAC 40: UP 0.7 percent at 8,030.20Frankfurt – DAX: UP 0.5 percent at 24,513.01Tokyo – Nikkei 225: DOWN 0.5 percent at 47,734.99 (close)Hong Kong – Hang Seng Index: DOWN 0.5 percent at 26,829.46 (close)Shanghai – Composite: Closed for a holidayNew York – Dow: DOWN 0.2 percent at 46,602.98 (close)Euro/dollar: DOWN at $1.1630 from $1.1652 on TuesdayPound/dollar: UP at $1.3428 from $1.3422Dollar/yen: DOWN at 152.92 yen from 151.97 yenEuro/pound: DOWN at 86.64 pence from 86.83 penceBrent North Sea Crude: UP 0.9 percent at $66.06 per barrelWest Texas Intermediate: UP 1.1 percent at $62.38 per barrel

Gold tops $4,000 for first time as traders pile into safe haven

Gold prices broke $4,000 on Wednesday for the first time as investors piled into the safe haven over expectations for US interest rate cuts and worries over the US government shutdown.The rally in the precious metal also came after concerns that a tech-fuelled rally that has sent some equity markets to record highs may have gone too far, fanning talk of an asset bubble.Traders have been piling into gold all year, pushing it up more than 50 percent since the start of 2025, on the back of a range of issues including global economic uncertainty, Donald Trump’s trade war and geopolitical crises.Its allure was increased further this week by political turmoil in France, where the prime minister resigned and President Emmanuel Macron’s former premier urged him to resign and call early elections.Gold — long considered a go-to in times of uncertainty — climbed to a high of $4,039.86 on Wednesday, even as the dollar has pushed up against most of its peers in recent days. Silver was also within a few dollars of its own record high.The closure of parts of the US government is adding to the sense of unease among investors, with key economic data, including on jobs, being postponed and muddying the waters for the Federal Reserve as it tries to decide on its rate plans.”The rapid rise in gold prices has been supported by rising inflows into (exchange-traded funds) and central bank buying, including solid demand from China, as gold benefits from political, economic, and inflation uncertainty,” wrote Taylor Nugent at National Australia Bank.And Pepperstone’s Chris Weston said, “funds and global reserve managers want a hedge — against fiscal recklessness, currency debasement, and unpredictable government policy — and gold sits squarely at the heart of that movement”.- AI party sobers up -While gold traders were busy pushing the metal ever higher, equity markets were more subdued in Asia as questions were asked about the hundreds of billions of dollars that have been invested in artificial intelligence.The AI boom has seen some indexes and companies hit record highs, with chip titan Nvidia topping a $4 trillion valuation.But a report that software firm Oracle’s cloud computing profit margin was much lower than expected sent shivers through trading floors, with all three main indexes on Wall Street falling into the red.”In a market priced for perfection, any delay in cash flow — even a temporary one — feels like the bartender calling ‘last call’,” wrote Stephen Innes of SPI Asset Management.”Traders didn’t wait for clarification; they simply started easing out of their positions. The Oracle story didn’t crash the party, but it definitely sobered it.”Tech firms, which have enjoyed strong buying this year and in recent months, led selling in Asia, with Alibaba and JD.com down in Hong Kong, TSMC dropping in Taipei and Renesas sharply lower in Tokyo.Hong Kong and Taipei were among the biggest losers, while Sydney and Singapore also fell.Tokyo dropped after a strong start to the week, fuelled by optimism that the election of business-friendly conservative Sanae Takaichi as the ruling party’s leader will see more stimulus measures and a fresh push for monetary easing.Wellington, Manila, Bangkok, Mumbai and Jakarta edged up with London, Paris and Frankfurt. – Key figures at around 0810 GMT -Tokyo – Nikkei 225: DOWN 0.5 percent at 47,734.99 (close)Hong Kong – Hang Seng Index: DOWN 0.5 percent at 26,829.46 (close)London – FTSE 100: UP 0.3 percent at 9,511.20Shanghai – Composite: Closed for a holidayEuro/dollar: DOWN at $1.1630 from $1.1652 on TuesdayPound/dollar: DOWN at $1.3411 from $1.3422Dollar/yen: UP at 152.51 yen from 151.97 yenEuro/pound: DOWN at 86.70 pence from 86.83 penceWest Texas Intermediate: UP 0.9 percent at $62.27 per barrelBrent North Sea Crude: UP 0.8 percent at $65.96 per barrelNew York – Dow: DOWN 0.2 percent at 46,602.98 (close)

Indian garment exporters reel under US tariffs

When Donald Trump was elected, Indian garment exporter R.K. Sivasubramaniam thought the new US president would boost business and invested heavily in anticipation of a boom.But less than a year later, everything is “upside down”, he admits with a pained smile.Trump’s 50 percent tariffs on Indian goods, imposed in August, have upset the country’s $11 billion textile export industry and shaken confidence in the US market.Sivasubramaniam’s Raft Garments factory in southern India, normally frenetic with humming sewing machines, is quieter and work hours have been cut, hitting employees’ paypackets.If his US buyers turn to other suppliers, half his business could vanish.Meanwhile, half a million garments sit in towering stacks, ready for shipment but stalled over who will pay the new duties.Buyers are asking for a 16-20 percent discount.”We cannot give that much,” said Sivasubramaniam, whose desk carries crossed US and Indian flags. “It’s a very huge loss for us.”If Raft doesn’t shoulder part of the duties, it won’t be paid for garments already produced — leaving it unable to cover costs.”If it continues for another month… we cannot give work to our employees,” he warned.Trump’s anger at India’s purchases of Russian oil — which Washington says help finance Moscow’s war in Ukraine — has left New Delhi facing some of the world’s steepest tariffs.A trade deal that could ease that hinges partly on progress in peace talks.But the fallout is being felt in Tiruppur, in the southern state of Tamil Nadu.- ‘Worst possible situation’ -Dubbed India’s “knitwear capital”, and “Dollar City” for its export earnings, the small industrial town produced $5 billion in garments last fiscal year, two-fifths going to the United States. Its lanes are dotted with thousands of units including dyeing, embroidery and sewing workshops.Manufacturers paint a grim picture.”US orders have largely stopped, around 80 percent of the US business has reduced,” said Ramesh Jebaraj of Trinity Tex.In the same season last year, he produced 100,000 garments.Now he has barely a fifth of that — forcing him to seek buyers in Israel and the United Arab Emirates.”This is the situation across Tiruppur,” he told AFP. “Some of the bigger factories are on the verge of closing some of their units.”Alexander John of NC John Garments, which supplies Walt Disney, called the tariff standoff “the worst possible situation any business can be in”.With his US orders “completely at a standstill”, he has cut shifts and laid off workers.To stay afloat, he is looking to Europe and Britain but said “none of these markets can replace the US”.Tamil Nadu Chief Minister M.K. Stalin has warned that up to three million jobs could be at risk across the state’s textile belt, a grim prospect for a country struggling to provide well-paid work for its youth.Local industry associations say they have so far avoided widespread layoffs by agreeing to steep discounts on US shipments.”In the short term, we’re giving discounts to the customer ranging from 20 to 25 percent,” said N. Thirukkumaran, general secretary of the Tiruppur Exporters Association.But he admits it is not a long-term solution, and has pleaded for government support.- ‘We are helpless’ -Exporters describe the move as a calculated gamble, by selling at a loss to maintain US buyer relationships while awaiting a trade deal.At RRK Cotton’s facility in Palladam, 17 kilometres (10 miles) from Tiruppur, dimly lit production halls are quieter than normal.Owner R. Rajkumar, a former tailor who built his business over three decades, has closed two factories and furloughed some staff.”This is a situation nobody could have anticipated,” he said, adding that he was running three factories fulfilling European orders, and shipping some US orders after giving a discount.He fears the next ordering cycle could be disrupted if US buyers shift to rivals such as Vietnam or Bangladesh.All that depends on a trade deal.Meanwhile, anger and confusion run deep among workers and business owners.”My tailor… He doesn’t know what is a trade war, or why India is buying oil from Russia, and why it is affecting our lives, our bread,” said Kumar Duraiswamy, CEO of Eastern Global Clothing.”The problem is we are helpless,” he added.N. Karthick Raja, 38, employed at a small embroidery unit now running reduced shifts, fears for his livelihood.”If this job goes away, I don’t know what I will do next,” he said. “America has abandoned us, more or less.”

Stocks falter, gold shines as traders weigh political turmoil

Wall Street stocks turned lower Tuesday and gold closed in on $4,000 per ounce as investors weighed the US government shutdown and political turmoil in France.Wall Street equities opened higher, but stumbled into negative territory soon thereafter, with some seeing signs of a fatigued market after a heady run.”The momentum is beginning to dry up,” said FHN Financial’s Chris Low. “It just feels to me like this is primarily profit-taking, we need another catalyst.”All three major indices finished the day lower, with the S&P 500 down 0.4 percent.In Europe, the Paris stock market edged back up after a sell-off, even as President Emmanuel Macron faced a call from his first prime minister, Edouard Philippe, to resign over a deepening political and budget crisis.London and Frankfurt also ended broadly stable, but the euro fell further against the dollar.Philippe, who aspires to become president, urged Macron to call for an early presidential election.Spot gold prices came within $10 of hitting $4,000 per ounce as futures markets topped the benchmark.”Gold has benefited from multiple catalysts this year, including tariff uncertainty, stubborn inflation, and a falling US dollar,” said analyst Bret Kenwell at eToro.”Uncertainty around the government shutdown and prospects of lower interest rates have only seemed to fan the flames of this year’s rally,” he added.The US government shutdown stretched into a seventh day, with Republicans and Democrats appearing no closer to an agreement.Bets on the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates this month and the political crisis in France are adding to the allure of gold, a safe-haven asset.In Asia, Tokyo eked out another record following the weekend election of a pro-stimulus advocate to lead Japan’s ruling party, before paring gains to close flat.The election of Sanae Takaichi — expected to become Japan’s prime minister this month — ramped up optimism that she will kick-start the economy through stimulus measures.Yields on 30-year Japanese bonds hit their highest level, reflecting fears the country’s already colossal debt will balloon further.Among individual companies, Tesla slid 4.5 percent after the company unveiled revamped versions at modestly lower price points. Analysts expressed disappointment that the pricing cut was not more significant in light of the demise of a federal tax credit.Ford tumbled 6.1 percent following a fire in an Oswego, New York, aluminum plant that is expected to reduce supplies to the auto giant for months. – Key figures at around 2015 GMT -New York – Dow: DOWN 0.2 percent at 46,602.98 (close)New York – S&P 500: DOWN 0.4 percent at 6,714.59 (close)New York – Nasdaq Composite: DOWN 0.7 percent at 22,785.97 (close)London – FTSE 100: UP less than 0.1 percent at 9,483.58 (close)Paris – CAC 40: UP less than 0.1 percent at 7,974.85 (close)Frankfurt – DAX: UP less than 0.1 percent at 24,385.78 (close)Tokyo – Nikkei 225: FLAT at 47,950.88 (close)Hong Kong – Hang Seng Index: Closed for a holidayShanghai – Composite: Closed for a holidayEuro/dollar: DOWN at $1.1652 from $1.1711 on MondayPound/dollar: DOWN at $1.3422 from $1.3485Dollar/yen: UP at 151.97 yen from 150.35 yenEuro/pound: DOWN at 86.83 pence from 86.85 penceBrent North Sea Crude: DOWN less than 0.1 percent at $65.45 per barrelWest Texas Intermediate: DOWN 0.1 percent at $61.73 per barrelburs-jmb/aha

WTO hikes 2025 trade growth outlook but tariffs to bite in 2026

AI-related goods and a surge in exports to the United States to beat President Donald Trump’s tariff hikes boosted global merchandise trade growth this year, the World Trade Organization said Tuesday.However, the picture is bleaker for 2026, the WTO warned, as the impact of those tariffs kicks in.The WTO raised its forecast for trade volume growth in 2025 to 2.4 percent — up from 0.9 percent in August — and slashed its 2026 outlook from 1.8 percent to 0.5 percent.”Global merchandise trade outpaced expectations in the first half of 2025, driven by increased spending on AI-related products, a surge in North American imports ahead of tariff hikes, and strong trade among the rest of the world,” the WTO said, as it published its updated global trade outlook.In an unusual move, the global trade body has revised its estimates several times this year due to uncertainties surrounding the new tariffs imposed by the Trump administration.Since returning to office in January, Trump has slapped several waves of new tariffs on imports entering the United States.His administration has imposed a basic tariff of 10 percent on all countries since April, with much higher rates for some economies.- Measured reaction to tariffs -“Countries’ measured response to tariff changes in general, the growth potential of AI, as well as increased trade among the rest of the world — particularly among emerging economies — helped ease trade setbacks in 2025,” WTO chief Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala said.The WTO said artificial intelligence-related goods — including semiconductors, servers, and telecommunications equipment — drove nearly half of the overall trade expansion in the first six months of the year, rising 20 percent year-on-year in value terms.Over those six months, “42 percent of global trade growth came from AI-related goods — far out of proportion to their 15 percent share in world trade”, Okonjo-Iweala told a press conference.But the former Nigerian finance minister said trade resilience this year should not fool countries into “complacency”.”Today’s disruptions to the global trade system are a call to action for nations to reimagine trade and together lay a stronger foundation that delivers greater prosperity for people everywhere,” she said.She noted that apart from a few countries, most WTO members have not imposed tit-for-tat tariffs on the United States “like it was in the 1930s” during the Great Depression, praising them for sticking to WTO rules.- ‘So much uncertainty’ -The report predicted that all regions will record weaker import performance in 2026 as higher tariff rates and heightened trade policy uncertainty bite.Okonjo-Iweala said that looking ahead to 2026, “the fact is there is so much uncertainty it is hard to be conclusive”.The WTO’s global GDP growth projection is 2.7 percent this year and 2.6 percent in 2026.Services export growth is now expected to slow from 6.8 percent last year to 4.6 in 2025, and further down to 4.4 percent next year.

Stocks, gold steady amid political upheaval

Global stocks steadied Tuesday and gold hovered around a fresh high as investors retreated to safety amid a US government shutdown and French political upheaval. French shares edged back up while the euro held losses as President Emmanuel Macron called on outgoing Prime Minister Sebastien Lecornu to salvage his administration. Lecornu, who resigned Monday after under a month in the post, was tasked with gaining cross-party support for a cabinet lineup to pull France out of political deadlock.London and Frankfurt both rose in midday deals. Gold hit a fresh peak of $3,977.44 an ounce Tuesday, before slightly paring gains, as investors eyed the US government shutdown, with Republicans and Democrats appearing no closer to an agreement.Bets on the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates this month and the political crisis in France are adding to the allure of the safe-haven asset.”The rally in gold is part of the ‘debasement’ trade,” said Kathleen Brooks, research director at trading group XTB. “This trading theme is driving demand for alternative assets such as gold and crypto, as the dollar faces a long-term decline and fiscal concerns continue to rise around the world,” she added.In Asia, Tokyo eked out another record following the weekend election of a pro-stimulus advocate to lead Japan’s ruling party, before paring gains to close flat.Hong Kong and Shanghai were closed for holidays.The election of Sanae Takaichi — expected to become Japan’s prime minister this month — ramped up optimism that she will kick-start the economy through stimulus measures.That sent the Nikkei 225 soaring almost five percent Monday and hammered the yen as investors began questioning the likelihood that the Bank of Japan will continue its interest rate hikes.Takaichi’s victory “removes uncertainty about the country’s policy direction”, said Saxo Markets’ chief investment strategist, Charu Chanana.”Her agenda is expected to continue a blend of fiscal support and ultra-easy monetary policy,” she added.Yields on 30-year Japanese bonds hit their highest level, reflecting fears the country’s already colossal debt will balloon further.A series of AI-related deals has fuelled optimism for tech stocks, driving several global markets to fresh highs this year.The latest was an announcement on Monday by Advanced Micro Devices and OpenAI of a partnership to develop AI data centres, which led the S&P 500 and Nasdaq to surge to fresh records in New York.While there are growing worries that huge investments in AI by firms have gone too far, OpenAI’s Fidji Simo told AFP she did not consider it a bubble.”I see that as a new normal, and I think the world is going to really switch to realising that computing power is the most strategic resource,” said Simo, chief operating officer of OpenAI’s applications, including its flagship model ChatGPT.- Key figures at around 1045 GMT -London – FTSE 100: UP 0.1 percent at 9,486.53 pointsParis – CAC 40: UP 0.3 percent at 7,997.84Frankfurt – DAX: UP 0.2 percent at 24,423.68Tokyo – Nikkei 225: FLAT at 47,950.88 (close)Hong Kong – Hang Seng Index: Closed for a holidayShanghai – Composite: Closed for a holidayNew York – Dow: DOWN 0.1 percent at 46,694.97 (close)Euro/dollar: DOWN at $1.1674 from $1.1713 on MondayPound/dollar: DOWN at $1.3439 from $1.3485Dollar/yen: UP at 150.75 yen from 150.24 yenEuro/pound: UP at 86.87 pence from 86.86 penceBrent North Sea Crude: DOWN 0.2 percent at $65.38 per barrelWest Texas Intermediate: DOWN 0.2 percent at $61.60 per barrel

OpenAI’s Fidji Simo says AI investment frenzy ‘new normal,’ not bubble

The dizzying investments in artificial intelligence infrastructure do not constitute a bubble but rather represent today’s “new normal” to meet skyrocketing user demand, Fidji Simo, OpenAI’s de facto number two, said on Monday.The French-born executive made her comments in an interview with AFP, her first since taking up her role as Chief Operating Officer of OpenAI’s applications, including its flagship model ChatGPT.In the past few weeks, her company, under the leadership of CEO Sam Altman, has made a series of huge investments in data centers and AI chips, despite no real signs that the fast-emerging AI business is close to breaking even.The answers were lightly edited for length and clarity.- Is the AI investment frenzy a bubble right now? -What I am seeing here is a massive investment in compute (or computing power), with us meeting that need for computing power so incredibly badly for a lot of use cases that people want. [Video AI generator] Sora is a great example right now — there’s much more demand than we can serve.From that perspective, I really do not see that as a bubble. I see that as a new normal, and I think the world is going to switch to realizing that computing power is the most strategic resource.- What do you say to those who fret over AI’s dangers? -I see my job as really making sure that the good side of this technology happens and we mitigate the bad side.Take mental health, for example. I’m hearing tons of users say that they go to ChatGPT for advice in tough moments where they may not have other people to talk to. Many people can’t afford to go to a therapist. I talk to a lot of parents who are telling me: God, I got this really awesome advice that helped me unlock a situation with my child. But at the same time, we need to make sure that the model behaves as expected.On mental health, we have announced a very robust roadmap. We started with parental controls. We have plans to launch age prediction: if we can predict that the user is a teenager, we give them a model that is less permissive than we would give to an adult.Jobs are also very much on my mind, and it’s a similar approach. AI is going to create a lot of jobs, like prompt engineering, that absolutely did not exist before. At the same time, there are some professions that are going to be directly impacted, and we see our role as helping with the transition.- What are the next steps toward intelligent AI? -I think the breakthroughs are about models understanding your goals and helping accomplish them proactively.Not just give you a good answer to a question, not just have a dialog, but actually tell you, ‘Oh, okay, you’re telling me that you want to spend more time with your wife. Well, there might be some weekend getaways that would be helpful, and I know it’s a lot to plan, so I’ve already done all the planning for you and I’ve already made some reservations. Just tap one button to approve and everything gets done.’We’re still very early, but we’re on that journey to capture that.- In San Francisco, you sometimes hear: ‘America innovates, China copies, Europe regulates’ -As a European, every time I hear this saying, my heart breaks a bit. I think there has certainly been a tendency in Europe to focus on regulation a little too much.On China, we continue to be extremely focused on continuing to have a lead, because we see China continuing to invest heavily in being competitive — whether in terms of innovation or in terms of computing — and so we think it’s incredibly important to continue investing across a democratic bloc to advance AI that has these [democratic] values.- Do you let your child use ChatGPT? -ChatGPT is not supposed to be for under 13, but my kid is 10 — I still let her use it under supervision. It’s magical to see what she’s able to create. Just this weekend, she was telling me about creating a new business. She was using ChatGPT to make banners for the new business, to create taglines.In our childhood, we couldn’t turn our imagination into something real that fast. And I see that really giving her superpowers, where she thinks anything is possible.

Extreme rains hit India’s premier Darjeeling tea estates

Torrential rains that triggered deadly landslides and floods in India’s Darjeeling region also destroyed swathes of premier tea estates, officials said Tuesday.The deluge wiped out around five percent of Darjeeling’s renowned tea gardens, delivering a heavy blow in a district that has become synonymous with the leaf itself.”The flood has dealt a massive blow to the tea gardens,” Rajkumar Mondal, chairman of the Indian Tea Association’s Dooars Chapter, told AFP.More than 950 hectares of tea plantations in Darjeeling’s hills, known for producing high-quality brews with a protected Geographical Indication, “suffered drastic losses due to flooding”, he said.Darjeeling produces around 10,000 tonnes of tea each year across 17,500 hectares, according to the Tea Board of India.The damage is another indication of how the intensity and unpredictability of rainfall in recent years reflect the worsening impact of climate change on Himalayan tea-growing regions.Mondal said Darjeeling received over 261 mm (10 inches) of rain on Saturday.”It’s unprecedented — I have never experienced such a disaster in my life”, he said, adding rains struck just ahead of a “new flush”, the harvest of the finest young leaf tips.”As the flood water receded, we have seen silt soil on the tea plants… it’s a costly affair to remove.”Monsoon downpours, which began on October 3, have eased.- Trail of devastation -But they left a trail of devastation, washing away roads and triggering landslides across West Bengal state.Regional Meteorological Centre (RMC) scientist Sourish Bandopadhyay said the sudden rains were caused by “an unexpected change in the trajectory of a low-pressure system”, bringing the intense rains.”It’s a sign of climate change in the region,” he said.Praween Prakash, superintendent of police for Darjeeling, said at least 36 people have died, up from an earlier toll of 28.Landslides destroyed more than 500 houses, forcing hundreds into temporary shelters, while tourists trapped by floodwaters were rescued by earthmovers, officials said.India’s tea industry is feeling the growing impact of climate change, with rising temperatures and unpredictable weather hurting both yields and quality, according to the Tea Board.Intense downpours cause waterlogging and soil erosion, while longer dry spells have forced tea estates to rely on irrigation to sustain crops, it says.Growers are also reporting new pests and diseases, with estates forced to use more fertilisers and pesticides to protect plants and maintain soil fertility.India’s tea industry employs more than one million workers directly, with another million in supporting jobs.The country is the world’s second-largest producer, and third-largest black tea exporter.It shipped nearly 255,000 metric tonnes abroad in 2024, earning about 71 billion rupees ($850 million), according to official data.