Dollar gains as Friday’s losses seen overdone; Fed comments lend support

By Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss and Joice Alves

NEW YORK/LONDON (Reuters) – The dollar rose against major currencies on Monday, with Friday’s losses following a mixed U.S. jobs report seen by some investors as excessive given the economy remains resilient and the labor market is still tight.

Federal Reserve official comments supporting additional interest rate hikes also underpinned the dollar.

The euro declined 0.2% against the dollar to $1.0995. It weakened after data on Monday showed German industrial production dropped more strongly than forecast in June, underlining the challenges faced by the manufacturing sector amid a downturn in Europe’s largest economy.

Against the yen, the dollar gained 0.2% to 142.06 yen, while advancing 0.2% as well versus the Swiss franc to 0.8748 francs.

The dollar index was last little changed at 102.08. It fell to a one-week low last Friday in the wake of a U.S. non-farm payrolls report that came out weaker than expected.

“We’re…looking at a correction (in the dollar) from the market’s rather outsized reaction to Friday’s non-farm payroll numbers,” said Helen Given, FX trader, at Monex USA in Washington.

“While U.S. employment data did come in below expectation, it wasn’t enough of a downside hit to justify Friday’s U.S. dollar losses and the overall economic picture remains strong.”

The broad strength of the U.S. economy was further underscored by Fed Governor Michele Bowman on Monday who said additional interest rate hikes will likely be needed in order to lower inflation to the U.S. central bank’s 2% target.

Bowman, in remarks prepared for delivery to a “Fed Listens” event in Atlanta, said she backed the latest rate increase last month because inflation remains too elevated, and job growth and other indications of activity show the economy has continued expanding at a “moderate pace.”

The Fed late last month raised its benchmark rate by a quarter percentage point to a range of 5.25% to 5.50%. Investors by and large believe that is likely the last increase of a campaign the Fed kicked off in March 2022.

Investors are starting to focus on inflation data from the United States and China due out this week.

U.S. inflation data is due on Thursday, where expectations are for core inflation of 4.7% on an annual basis in July.

Also expected this week is China’s July inflation print on Wednesday, with traders on the lookout for further signs of deflation in the world’s second-largest economy.

The Chinese yuan hovered near a two-week low, with its offshore counterpart last 0.1% lower at 7.196 per dollar.

Elsewhere, sterling rose 0.2% against the dollar to $1.277. Last Thursday, the Bank of England (BoE) raised interest rates by 25 basis points to a 15-year peak of 5.25%. It was the BoE’s 14th back-to-back increase, but a step down in the pace of monetary tightening after rising by 50 bps in its previous meeting.

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Currency bid prices at 10:05AM (1405 GMT)

Description RIC Last U.S. Close Pct Change YTD Pct High Bid Low Bid

Previous Change

Session

Dollar index 102.1300 102.0600 +0.09% -1.314% +102.3800 +101.9600

Euro/Dollar $1.0992 $1.1012 -0.19% +2.58% +$1.1026 +$1.0966

Dollar/Yen 142.1400 141.7600 +0.28% +8.42% +142.4400 +141.5200

Euro/Yen 156.22 156.05 +0.11% +11.36% +156.4300 +155.8200

Dollar/Swiss 0.8754 0.8729 +0.26% -5.35% +0.8773 +0.8735

Sterling/Dollar $1.2758 $1.2752 +0.05% +5.49% +$1.2786 +$1.2714

Dollar/Canadian 1.3380 1.3383 -0.01% -1.24% +1.3399 +1.3340

Aussie/Dollar $0.6559 $0.6571 -0.17% -3.77% +$0.6593 +$0.6555

Euro/Swiss 0.9620 0.9608 +0.12% -2.78% +0.9627 +0.9604

Euro/Sterling 0.8614 0.8633 -0.20% -2.60% +0.8640 +0.8607

NZ $0.6092 $0.6098 -0.13% -4.09% +$0.6117 +$0.6087

Dollar/Dollar

Dollar/Norway 10.1550 10.1150 +0.30% +3.37% +10.2000 +10.1190

Euro/Norway 11.1673 11.1511 +0.15% +6.42% +11.1927 +11.1239

Dollar/Sweden 10.6137 10.5766 +0.15% +1.98% +10.6537 +10.5735

Euro/Sweden 11.6669 11.6490 +0.15% +4.64% +11.6904 +11.6332

(Reporting by Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss in New York and Joice Alves in London; Additional reporting by Rae Wee in Singapore; Editing by Kirsten Donovan and Mark Potter)

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