Oil Holds Loss on Fed’s Signal of Higher Interest Rates to Come

Oil held losses driven by a big jump in US crude stockpiles and as the Federal Reserve signaled it’s not finished with rate hikes.

(Bloomberg) — Oil held losses driven by a big jump in US crude stockpiles and as the Federal Reserve signaled it’s not finished with rate hikes.

West Texas Intermediate futures traded near $68 a barrel on Thursday after falling 1.7% in the previous session. Fed officials paused in their run of interest-rate hikes but projected borrowing costs will go higher than previously expected to tame what Chair Jerome Powell called surprising persistent inflation.

The outlook led to renewed worries that higher rates will push the US economy into a recession. It followed data that showed crude inventories in the country rose by the most in four months, while stockpiles at the key storage hub in Cushing, Oklahoma, swelled to a two-year high.

Crude in New York has lost 15% this year but drifted since early May as concerns over a US slowdown and a lackluster rebound in China’s economy wrestle with Saudi-led supply cuts. China’s apparent oil demand rose 17% last month from a year ago, while industrial output also edged higher, according to official data released on Thursday.

“Many think oil prices are low because demand is weak,” said Giovanni Staunovo, a commodity analyst at UBS Group AG. “But despite the solid demand recovery, global visible oil inventories did not fall in the first four months of this year because supply growth was also solid.”

While there have been some bright spots for demand, the generally dour outlook has left Wall Street abandoning predictions for a sharply price rally this year. Both UBS and JPMorgan Chase & Co. have pulled back their price forecasts in recent days.

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